Netherlands vs Poland, FIFA World Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA World Cup Netherlands - Poland
Result
1:1
04/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • World Championship - Qualification
  • Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 2, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeUEFA TV
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
franceFranceL'Equipe Live Foot
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiaMNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 3
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1, SportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyExxen
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.39
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
94% (670/715)76% (183/240)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.040.39
xG on target (xGOT)
2.350.53
Total shots
146
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
3414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
1111
Passes
94% (670/715)76% (183/240)
Long passes
75% (15/20)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
85% (168/197)59% (24/41)
Crosses
25% (5/20)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.30
Throw-ins
179
Fouls
1111
Tackles
77% (10/13)29% (6/21)
Duels won
3648
Clearances
1432
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.532.35
Goals prevented
-0.471.35

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Dumfries D. , Depay M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 64', Lewandowski R. , Swiderski K. ,
  • 71', Szymanski S. , Grosicki K. ,
  • 71', Zalewski N. , Wszolek P. ,
  • 71', Zielinski P. , Kapustka B. ,
  • 78', Depay M. , Weghorst W. ,
  • 78', Simons X. , Malen D. ,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Cash M. ,
  • 83', Wisniewski P. , Kedziora T. ,
  • 83', de Jong F. , Timber Q. ,
  • 83', Reijnders T. , Kluivert J. ,
  • 87', van Hecke J. P. , de Vrij S. ,

Chances of winning


Netherlands
73.9%
Draw
17%
Poland
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
74.4% 17.6% 8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Netherlands - Poland Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.28)
    5.61
    (5.4)
    10.73
    (11.97)
    4.9%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Netherlands - Poland?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 49 - 90.7%). Poland will win (votes: 3 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 3.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Netherlands: 83%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Netherlands (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Netherlands (votes: 3 - 100%).
    • AH -1.75 - Netherlands (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 4.
    • In this match, Netherlands is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Netherlands: Frimpong J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Poland: Moder J. (Knock) Swierczok J. (Knee Injury) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Netherlands - Poland were as follows:
    16.06.2024 Poland - Netherlands 1:2
    22.09.2022 Poland - Netherlands 0:2
    Latest results of Netherlands
    10.06.2025 Netherlands - Malta 8:0
    07.06.2025 Finland - Netherlands 0:2
    23.03.2025 Spain - Netherlands 4:3
    20.03.2025 Netherlands - Spain 2:2
    Latest results of Poland
    10.06.2025 Finland - Poland 2:1
    06.06.2025 Poland - Moldova 2:0
    24.03.2025 Poland - Malta 2:0
    21.03.2025 Poland - Lithuania 1:0
    18.11.2024 Poland - Scotland 1:2
    FIFA World Cup Table
    South America
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Argentina18122431:102138
    2Ecuador1888214:5929
    3Colombia1877428:181028
    4Uruguay1877422:121028
    5Brazil1884624:17728
    6Paraguay1877414:10428
    7Bolivia18621017:35-1820
    8Venezuela1846818:28-1018
    9Peru1826106:21-1512
    10Chile1825119:27-1811

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