Poland vs Ukraine, IIHF World Championship IA – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey IIHF World Championship IA Poland - Ukraine
Result
1:4
01/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WCH IA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 05:28, 1 - 0, Lyszczarczyk A. (G), Sadlocha K. (A), Dziubinski K. (A2)
  • 12:23, 1 - 1, Zakharov V. (G),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 3)
  • 03:08, 1 - 2, Zakharov V. (G), Deniskin A. (A), Pangelov-Yuldashev F. (A2)
  • 10:16, 1 - 3, Sadovikov S. (G), Korenchuk I. (A),
  • 15:00, 1 - 4, Trakht D. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Poland
37.7%
Draw
24.8%
Ukraine
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 22.3% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 22% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poland's form might have worsened.
  • Ukraine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ukraine's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poland than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poland, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ukraine than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ukraine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Poland - Ukraine Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2)
    3.75
    (4.1)
    2.46
    (2.85)
    8.2%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
  • What is the prediction for Poland - Ukraine?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ World Championship).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches Poland won 2.
    • Poland is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Ukraine is playing unpredictably (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).
    • Ukraine could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Poland won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 73:41 (average 3.7:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Poland - Ukraine were as follows:
    14.04.2025 Poland - Ukraine 3:2
    13.04.2025 Poland - Ukraine 2:3
    13.12.2024 Poland - Ukraine 1:2
    12.12.2024 Poland - Ukraine 2:1
    09.02.2024 Poland - Ukraine 2:3
    Latest results of Poland
    30.04.2025 Poland - Italy 1:4
    28.04.2025 Poland - Japan 2:1
    27.04.2025 Romania - Poland 1:4
    24.04.2025 Slovenia - Poland 1:2
    19.04.2025 Poland - Italy 3:1
    Latest results of Ukraine
    30.04.2025 Ukraine - Romania 4:0
    28.04.2025 Italy - Ukraine 2:3
    27.04.2025 Ukraine - Great Britain 3:4
    14.04.2025 Poland - Ukraine 3:2
    13.04.2025 Poland - Ukraine 2:3
    IIHF World Championship IA Table
    2025
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Great Britain5230019:912
    2Italy5301118:1110
    3Ukraine5211116:109
    4Japan5201214:167
    5Poland520038:136
    6Romania ✔ 500146:221

          Promotion ~ World Championship
          Relegation ~ WCH IB

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Romania is Relegated to WCH IB