Mara Sugar vs Police FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
24/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 68', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Mara Sugar
26.4%
Draw
33.2%
Police FC
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 32.7% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 32.4% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Police FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Mara Sugar - Police FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (3.04)
    2.73
    (2.8)
    2.24
    (2.46)
    10.3%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Mara Sugar - Police FC?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Mara Sugar (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mara Sugar (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5).
    • Mara Sugar has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Police's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Police may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Mara Sugar has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mara Sugar - Police FC were as follows:
    14.01.2026 Police FC - Mara Sugar 1:1
    27.01.2025 Mara Sugar - Police FC 0:1
    07.12.2024 Police FC - Mara Sugar 1:0
    Latest results of Mara Sugar
    18.01.2026 Gor Mahia - Mara Sugar 3:0
    14.01.2026 Police FC - Mara Sugar 1:1
    10.01.2026 APS Bomet - Mara Sugar 1:1
    22.12.2025 Mara Sugar - Muranga Seal 1:3
    17.12.2025 Shabana - Mara Sugar 0:0
    Latest results of Police FC
    19.01.2026 Police FC - Nairobi United 1:1
    14.01.2026 Police FC - Mara Sugar 1:1
    09.01.2026 Kenya CB - Police FC 0:0
    18.12.2025 Muranga Seal - Police FC 1:0
    Kenyan Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gor Mahia22154338:152349
    2Leopards22127330:141643
    3Shabana23117528:23540
    4Kakamega Homeboyz22108434:231138
    5Police FC23910420:14637
    6Muranga23106731:25636
    7Tusker23104921:24-334
    8Bandari23711519:17232
    9KCB2295822:23-132
    10Nairobi United1985625:20529
    11Mara Sugar22610623:23028
    12Mathare Utd23751117:22-526
    13Posta Rangers2259818:27-924
    14Kariobangi Sharks23410915:25-1022
    15Bidco United23481115:27-1220
    16Ulinzi Stars23471219:26-719
    17APS Bomet23471223:32-919
    18Sofapaka23351515:33-1814

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