Police Tero vs Nongbua Pitchaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
09/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Thai League 2 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
thailandThailandAIS PLAY

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
96
Corner Kicks
45
Red Cards
01
Total shots
188
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
92
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 35', 🟥,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Honny I. ,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Aon-pean V. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 57', 3 - 0, Aon-pean V. ,
  • 74', 3 - 1, Tailandia C. ,
  • 80', 3 - 2, Tailandia C. ,
  • 84', 4 - 2, Honny I. ,
  • 90+5', 5 - 2, Wellington Smith ,

Chances of winning


Police Tero
40.1%
Draw
27.4%
Nongbua Pitchaya
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 26.6% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 25.8% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Police Tero have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Police Tero - Nongbua Pitchaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.28)
    3.3
    (3.44)
    2.78
    (2.75)
    10.7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1 and 10).
    • Police Tero is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nongbua Pitchaya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nongbua Pitchaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Nongbua Pitchaya has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Police Tero won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Police Tero won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Police Tero - Nongbua Pitchaya were as follows:
    02.04.2023 Nongbua Pitchaya - Police Tero 1:2
    28.10.2022 Police Tero - Nongbua Pitchaya 2:1
    Latest results of Police Tero
    Latest results of Nongbua Pitchaya
    Thai League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rasisalai Utd28169351:282357
    2Sisaket United27148536:221450
    3Police Tero27136840:32845
    4Nong Bua Pitchaya271341042:43-143
    5Pattani27118835:38-341
    6Mahasarakham27117943:311240
    7Chainat27109840:31939
    8Phrae27109836:40-439
    9Chiangmai Utd271211443:42137
    10Khonkaen Utd27811850:41935
    11Chanthaburi27971135:37-234
    12Songkhla27951329:38-932
    13Kasetsart26791036:38-230
    14Pattaya United27791132:35-330
    15Trat FC26861238:42-430
    16Nakhon Pathom28791222:31-930
    17Nakhon Si26781128:47-1929
    18Bangkok FC28571631:51-2022
    19Lampang00000:000

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