Police Tero vs Nongbua Pitchaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
09/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Thai League 2 - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
thailandThailandAIS PLAY

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
96
Corner Kicks
45
Red Cards
01
Total shots
188
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
92
Corner Kicks
45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 35', 🟥,
  • 39', 1 - 0, Honny I. ,
  • 43', 2 - 0, Aon-pean V. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 57', 3 - 0, Aon-pean V. ,
  • 74', 3 - 1, Tailandia C. ,
  • 80', 3 - 2, Tailandia C. ,
  • 84', 4 - 2, Honny I. ,
  • 90+5', 5 - 2, Wellington Smith ,

Chances of winning


Police Tero
40.1%
Draw
27.4%
Nongbua Pitchaya
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 26.6% 33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3% 25.8% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Police Tero have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Police Tero - Nongbua Pitchaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.28)
    3.3
    (3.44)
    2.78
    (2.75)
    10.7%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 1 and 10).
    • Police Tero is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Nongbua Pitchaya has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nongbua Pitchaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Nongbua Pitchaya has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Police Tero won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Police Tero won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Police Tero - Nongbua Pitchaya were as follows:
    02.04.2023 Nongbua Pitchaya - Police Tero 1:2
    28.10.2022 Police Tero - Nongbua Pitchaya 2:1
    Latest results of Police Tero
    Latest results of Nongbua Pitchaya
    Thai League 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rasisalai Utd311810356:312564
    2Sisaket United30159640:261454
    3Pattani31158847:44353
    4Police Tero30147942:34849
    5Nong Bua Pitchaya301451146:48-247
    6Mahasarakham311281145:351044
    7Chainat311191144:40442
    8Phrae311012939:45-642
    9Khonkaen Utd3110111055:46941
    10Songkhla311171335:39-440
    11Trat FC301161344:45-139
    12Chanthaburi311081341:42-138
    13Pattaya United319101240:38237
    14Chiangmai Utd311211847:53-637
    15Kasetsart308101238:43-534
    16Nakhon Pathom31891425:34-933
    17Nakhon Si307111231:51-2032
    18Bangkok FC31771734:55-2128
    19Lampang00000:000

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