Result
1:0
26/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Bugesera
22.6% | Draw
31.6% | Police
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+3%)
Bugesera - Police Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↓
(4.09) |
2.87 ↓
(3) |
1.98 ↑
(1.92) |
10.3%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Bugesera - Police?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Bugesera will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Police will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 2.
- Bugesera is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Police is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bugesera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Police is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Bugesera won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bugesera won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bugesera won against Police?
Bugesera has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Bugesera?
Police has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bugesera - Police were as follows:
15.03.2025
Bugesera
-
Police
0:1
13.12.2024
Police
-
Bugesera
2:2
05.12.2023
Bugesera
-
Police
4:2
11.03.2023
Bugesera
-
Police
2:1
13.10.2022
Police
-
Bugesera
2:1
Latest results of Bugesera
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 50:16 | 34 | 45 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
