Result
2:1
22/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
Chances of winning
Police
69.9% | Draw
21.9% | Gicumbi
8.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Police's performance.Gicumbi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Police that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gicumbi than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Police - Gicumbi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.47) |
4.37 ↑
(3.68) |
11.55 ↑
(6.9) |
4.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police won 3.
- Police is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Gicumbi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gicumbi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Police is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Police will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Police won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 1.4:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Police won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:3. (average 1.7:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Gicumbi?
Police has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gicumbi won against Police?
Gicumbi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Gicumbi were as follows:
Latest results of Gicumbi
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 50:16 | 34 | 45 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 12 | Gicumbi | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
