Police vs Nouadhibou – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 11

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Mahmoud A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90+6', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Police
8.8%
Draw
24.6%
Nouadhibou
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.5% 26.9% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2% 26.5% 56.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.
  • Nouadhibou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nouadhibou's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nouadhibou than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nouadhibou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Police - Nouadhibou Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    10.29
    (5.2)
    3.68
    (3.38)
    1.36
    (1.63)
    10.4%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Police - Nouadhibou?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1 - Nouadhibou (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nouadhibou will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nouadhibou (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • Recent performances by Police have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nouadhibou is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Nouadhibou is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Police won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Police won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Nouadhibou were as follows:
    27.02.2023 Nouadhibou - Police 3:0
    23.10.2022 Police - Nouadhibou 0:1
    Latest results of Police
    21.12.2025 Chemal - Police 1:1
    06.12.2025 SNIM - Police 1:1
    29.11.2025 Police - Pompier 1:1
    23.11.2025 Inter Nouakchott - Police 1:1
    Latest results of Nouadhibou
    16.12.2025 Ksar - Nouadhibou 0:2
    11.12.2025 SNIM - Nouadhibou 0:1
    07.12.2025 Nouadhibou - Nzeidane 2:1
    03.12.2025 Gendrim - Nouadhibou 0:2
    Mauritania Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nouadhibou18126030:62442
    2Douane18114333:191437
    3Pompiers1888222:17532
    4Nzeidane1793526:25130
    5Police1859425:20524
    6SNIM1759319:16324
    7Nouakchott Academy1865723:19423
    8Gendrim1858516:18-223
    9Chemal1865720:24-423
    10Tevragh-Zeina1848619:20-120
    11Nouakchott King's1838720:24-417
    12Kaedi1836914:26-1215
    13Inter Nouakchott18251118:33-1511
    14Ksar18241213:31-1810

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation