Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 61% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (37/63) | 45% (25/55) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (17/40) | 31% (9/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 40% (6/15) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 46% (29/63) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (20/29) | 57% (23/40) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 40% (6/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (54/103) | 40% (34/84) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (50/84) | 48% (49/103) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (104/187) | 44% (83/187) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 36% (5/14) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 43% (6/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 61% (17/28) | 39% (11/28) |
Chances of winning
Polina Iatcenko
57.9% | Gabriela Knutson
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Gabriela Knutson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriela Knutson than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Polina Iatcenko - Gabriela Knutson Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.62) |
|
2.26 ↑
(2.2) |
5.3%
(7.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Polina Iatcenko - Gabriela Knutson?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Iatcenko will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Knutson will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Knutson (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 267. Knutson is ranked WTA: 236.
- Recent performances by Iatcenko have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Knutson is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Iatcenko is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Iatcenko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Polina Iatcenko won against Gabriela Knutson?
Polina Iatcenko has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gabriela Knutson won against Polina Iatcenko?
Gabriela Knutson has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Polina Iatcenko - Gabriela Knutson were as follows:
29.02.2024
Polina Iatcenko
-
Gabriela Knutson
0:2
19.07.2023
Polina Iatcenko
-
Gabriela Knutson
2:1
Latest results of Polina Iatcenko
Latest results of Gabriela Knutson
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Marcinko P. (1) | Tikhonova A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Murta I. (WC) | Tan H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cross K. | Aksu A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hesse A. | Quevedo K. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Korneeva A. (3) | Jamrichova R. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Radwanska U. (Q) | Dart H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Pliskova Ka. (WC) | Andrianjafitrimo T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Iatcenko P. | Jorge M. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Vedder E. (8) | Sebov K. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Knutson G. | Guerrero Alvarez E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Glushko L. | Dmitruk K. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Belgraver J. | Snigur D. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7) | Ryser V. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Diatchenko V. | Lee C. Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Kalieva E. | Nozdrachova M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Santos A.F. (WC) | Korpatsch T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Marcinko P. (1) | Tan H. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Aksu A. | Quevedo K. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Jamrichova R. | Dart H. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Pliskova Ka. | Iatcenko P. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Vedder E. (8) | Knutson G. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Dmitruk K. | Snigur D. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7) | Lee C. Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Kalieva E. | Korpatsch T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Marcinko P. (RET.) (1) | Quevedo K. (5) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Jamrichova R. (RET.) | Iatcenko P. | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Knutson G. | Snigur D. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Lee C. Y. | Korpatsch T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Quevedo K. (5) | Iatcenko P. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Knutson G. | Lee C. Y. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Iatcenko P. | Knutson G. | 2 : 1 |
