Result
2:0
15/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 59% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 69% (20/29) | 45% (15/33) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 39% (9/23) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 62% (8/13) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (19/33) | 31% (9/29) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 29% (4/14) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 0% (0/3) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (30/43) | 43% (24/56) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (32/56) | 30% (13/43) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (62/99) | 37% (37/99) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 100% (7/7) | 29% (2/7) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 0% (0/7) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 14% (2/14) |
Chances of winning
Polina Iatcenko
53.9% | Matilde Jorge
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polina Iatcenko's performance.Matilde Jorge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matilde Jorge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-18.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polina Iatcenko that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matilde Jorge than the current prediction. (+18.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matilde Jorge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Polina Iatcenko - Matilde Jorge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(2.5) |
|
2.02 ↑
(1.5) |
7.6%
(6.7%) | |
What is the prediction for Polina Iatcenko - Matilde Jorge?
Users Predictions:
Polina Iatcenko will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 292. Jorge is ranked WTA: 212.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Jorge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Jorge is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iatcenko won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Polina Iatcenko won against Matilde Jorge?
Polina Iatcenko has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Matilde Jorge won against Polina Iatcenko?
Matilde Jorge has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Polina Iatcenko - Matilde Jorge were as follows:
14.06.2025
Polina Iatcenko
-
Matilde Jorge
0:2
Latest results of Polina Iatcenko
Latest results of Matilde Jorge
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Marcinko P. (1) | Tikhonova A. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Murta I. (WC) | Tan H. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Cross K. | Aksu A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Hesse A. | Quevedo K. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Korneeva A. (3) | Jamrichova R. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Radwanska U. (Q) | Dart H. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Pliskova Ka. (WC) | Andrianjafitrimo T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Iatcenko P. | Jorge M. (6) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Vedder E. (8) | Sebov K. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Knutson G. | Guerrero Alvarez E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Glushko L. | Dmitruk K. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Belgraver J. | Snigur D. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7) | Ryser V. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Diatchenko V. | Lee C. Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Kalieva E. | Nozdrachova M. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Santos A.F. (WC) | Korpatsch T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Marcinko P. (1) | Tan H. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Aksu A. | Quevedo K. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Jamrichova R. | Dart H. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Pliskova Ka. | Iatcenko P. | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Vedder E. (8) | Knutson G. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Dmitruk K. | Snigur D. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (7) | Lee C. Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Kalieva E. | Korpatsch T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Marcinko P. (RET.) (1) | Quevedo K. (5) | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Jamrichova R. (RET.) | Iatcenko P. | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Knutson G. | Snigur D. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Lee C. Y. | Korpatsch T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Quevedo K. (5) | Iatcenko P. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Knutson G. | Lee C. Y. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Iatcenko P. | Knutson G. | 2 : 1 |
