Polina Kudermetova vs Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Guangzhou Polina Kudermetova - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Result
1:2
21/10/2025 at 02:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Guangzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
54
1st Serve Percentage
61%75%
1st Serve Points Won
68% (25/37)71% (32/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
33% (8/24)53% (8/15)
Break Points Saved
17% (1/6)63% (5/8)
1st Return Points Won
29% (13/45)41% (15/37)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (7/15)67% (16/24)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)83% (5/6)
Service Points Won
55% (33/60)67% (40/60)
Return Points Won
33% (20/60)45% (27/60)
Total Points Won
44% (53/120)56% (67/120)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
55% (6/11)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)45% (5/11)
Total Games Won
41% (9/22)59% (13/22)

Chances of winning


Polina Kudermetova
63.3%
Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.8% 43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polina Kudermetova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polina Kudermetova's performance.
  • Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Kudermetova than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polina Kudermetova that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Polina Kudermetova - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.65)

    2.55
    (2.17)
    4.5%
    (6.7%)
    What is the prediction for Polina Kudermetova - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah?
  • Users Predictions: Polina Kudermetova will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Kudermetova is ranked WTA: 75. Rakotomanga Rajaonah is ranked WTA: 129.
    • Kudermetova has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Rakotomanga Rajaonah is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Kudermetova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Kudermetova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Polina Kudermetova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Bouzas Maneiro J. (1)Sun L. (Q)0 : 2
    2Wang Y. (WC)Rakhimova K.2 : 0
    3Juvan K. (Q)McNally C.1 : 2
    4Tomljanovic A.Parks A. (5)2 : 0
    5Eala A. (4)Liu C. (Q)1 : 2
    6Bondar A.Guo H. (WC)2 : 1
    7Seidel E.Jeanjean L.2 : 0
    8Korneeva A. (Q)Putintseva Y. (6)1 : 2
    9Kudermetova P. (8)Rakotomanga Rajaonah T. (LL)1 : 2
    10Kawa K. (Q)Volynets K. (Q)1 : 2
    11Zhang S. (WC)Zakharova A.2 : 0
    12Erjavec V.Maria T. (3)2 : 1
    13Jones F. (7)Wang Xiy. (WC)0 : 2
    14Cocciaretto E.Parry D.2 : 1
    15Osorio C.Bronzetti L.2 : 0
    16Jimenez Kasintseva V. (LL)Li A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sun L.Wang Y.2 : 0
    2McNally C.Tomljanovic A.2 : 1
    3Liu C.Bondar A.2 : 0
    4Seidel E.Putintseva Y. (6)2 : 0
    5Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.Volynets K.0 : 2
    6Zhang S.Erjavec V.2 : 1
    7Wang Xiy.Cocciaretto E.1 : 2
    8Osorio C.Li A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Sun L.McNally C.2 : 1
    2Liu C.Seidel E.2 : 1
    3Volynets K.Zhang S.1 : 2
    4Cocciaretto E.Li A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Sun L.Liu C.
    2Zhang S.Li A. (2)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2