Result
0:1
14/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Balakin M. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Bekavac A. 🟨,
- 34', Filippov O. 🟨,
- 45+1', Mendoza G. 🟨,
- 45+2', Babenko R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Sarapiy E. 🟨,
- 62', Andriyevski O. 🟨,
- 63', Shepelev V. ↓, Yosefi T. ↑,
- 63', Filippov O. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
- 63', Nazarenko O. ↓, Bragaru M. ↑,
- 64', Lin B. ↓, Mykytyshyn A. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 1, Gayduchyk M. ⚽, Yosefi T. (A),
- 83', Paraco C. ↓, Shevchenko Volodymyrovych Y. ↑,
- 83', Mendoza G. ↓, Kamensky O. ↑,
- 83', Andriyevski O. ↓, Tomandzoto B. ↑,
- 90+2', Mykhaylichenko B. ↓, Maisuradze G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kryvbas
30% | Draw
28.2% | Polissya Zhytomyr
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kryvbas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kryvbas's form might have worsened.Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polissya Zhytomyr's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kryvbas than the current prediction. (+11.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kryvbas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polissya Zhytomyr, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kryvbas - Polissya Zhytomyr Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.3) |
3.31 ↑
(3.05) |
2.24 ↓
(3.1) |
7%
(8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kryvbas won 1.
- Kryvbas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Polissya has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Polissya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Polissya might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Kryvbas will win today's game, with odds of 3.09.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kryvbas won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kryvbas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kryvbas won against Polissya Zhytomyr?
Kryvbas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Polissya Zhytomyr won against Kryvbas?
Polissya Zhytomyr has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kryvbas - Polissya Zhytomyr were as follows:
25.05.2025
Polissya Zhytomyr
-
Kryvbas
1:1
30.11.2024
Kryvbas
-
Polissya Zhytomyr
3:1
30.10.2024
Polissya Zhytomyr
-
Kryvbas
2:1
13.05.2024
Kryvbas
-
Polissya Zhytomyr
0:1
06.11.2023
Polissya Zhytomyr
-
Kryvbas
1:1
Latest results of Kryvbas
Latest results of Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dyn. Kyiv | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 11 | 14 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Kolos Kovalivka | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Kryvbas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | LNZ Cherkasy | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 | Obolon | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Veres-Rivne | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Karpaty Lviv | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Kudrivka | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Oleksandriya | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 4 |
| 14 | SC Poltava | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 4 |
| 15 | Epitsentr | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
| 16 | Rukh Lviv | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga
