Polona Hercog vs Tamara Korpatsch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Dubrovnik, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
23
1st serve percentage
72%73%
1st serve points won
54% (44/81)51% (39/77)
2nd serve points won
47% (15/32)38% (11/29)
Break Points Saved
7/148/17
1st return points won
49% (38/77)46% (37/81)
2nd return points won
62% (18/29)53% (17/32)
Break Points Converted
9/177/14
Service Points Won
52% (59/113)47% (50/106)
Return Points Won
53% (56/106)48% (54/113)
Total Points Won
53% (115/219)47% (104/219)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
56% (9/16)44% (7/16)
Return games won
56% (9/16)44% (7/16)
Total games won
56% (18/32)44% (14/32)

Chances of winning


Polona Hercog
40.9%
Tamara Korpatsch
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.7% 44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 49.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polona Hercog has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polona Hercog's form might have worsened.
  • Tamara Korpatsch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tamara Korpatsch's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polona Hercog than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polona Hercog, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamara Korpatsch than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tamara Korpatsch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Polona Hercog - Tamara Korpatsch Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.67)

    1.6
    (2.1)
    5.9%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Polona Hercog - Tamara Korpatsch?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Hercog will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Korpatsch will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hercog: 56.3%96.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Polona Hercog will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hercog is ranked WTA: 303. Korpatsch is ranked WTA: 112.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Hercog may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hercog won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Polona Hercog
    Latest results of Tamara Korpatsch
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Marcinko P. (1)Kostovic T.0 : 2
    2Radivojevic L.Charaeva A.0 : 2
    3Toth A. K. (Q)Lazaro Garcia A.0 : 2
    4Lukas T. (WC)Pavlyuchenkova A. (RET.) (5)1 : 1
    5Sherif M. (3)Noha Akugue N. (LL)2 : 0
    6Ciric Bagaric L. (WC)Ristic M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Romero Gormaz L.Gjorcheska L.2 : 0
    8Kabbaj Y. (WC)Lamens S. (6)0 : 2
    9Kalinina A. (7)Bronzetti L.2 : 1
    10Brancaccio N.Pigato L.2 : 0
    11Pridankina E.Hercog P. (Q)0 : 2
    12Konjuh A. (WC)Korpatsch T. (4)0 : 2
    13Chwalinska M. (8)Zidansek T.0 : 2
    14Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.Sorribes Tormo S. (Q)0 : 2
    15Salkova D.Quevedo K.0 : 2
    16Maristany G.Erjavec V. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kostovic T.Charaeva A.1 : 2
    2Lazaro Garcia A.Lukas T.2 : 0
    3Sherif M. (3)Ristic M.2 : 0
    4Romero Gormaz L.Lamens S. (6)2 : 0
    5Kalinina A. (7)Brancaccio N.2 : 0
    6Hercog P.Korpatsch T. (4)2 : 1
    7Zidansek T.Sorribes Tormo S.2 : 1
    8Quevedo K.Erjavec V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Charaeva A.Lazaro Garcia A.0 : 2
    2Sherif M. (3)Romero Gormaz L.2 : 1
    3Kalinina A. (7)Hercog P.2 : 0
    4Zidansek T.Erjavec V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Lazaro Garcia A.Sherif M. (3)2 : 0
    2Kalinina A. (7)Zidansek T.2 : 1

    Final
    1Lazaro Garcia A.Kalinina A. (7)2 : 1