Basket Poznań vs Polonia 1912 Leszno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
83:72
21/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Liga - Round 20
  • Referee: Rakowski A. (Pol)

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6660
Field goals made
2628
Field goals %
39.39%46.67%
2-point field goals attempts
3439
2-point field goals made
1525
2-point field goals %
44.12%64.1%
3-point field goals attempts
3221
3-point field goals made
113
3-point field goals %
34.38%14.29%
Free throws attempts
2918
Free throws made
1813
Free throws %
62.1%72.2%
Offensive rebounds
147
Defensive rebounds
3031
Total rebounds
4438
Assists
1813
Blocks
36
Turnovers
1114
Steals
98
Personal fouls
2123

Chances of winning


Basket Poznań
58.5%
Polonia 1912 Leszno
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 41.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Basket Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Polonia 1912 Leszno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Poznań than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia 1912 Leszno than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Basket Poznań - Polonia 1912 Leszno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.6)

    2.23
    (2.17)
    8.1%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 157.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poznań won 5.
    • Poznań has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Polonia 1912 Leszno is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Poznań may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Poznań could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Poznań won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 657:602. (average 82.1:75.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Poznań won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 320:302. (average 80:75.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Basket Poznań - Polonia 1912 Leszno were as follows:
    01.10.2025 Polonia 1912 Leszno - Basket Poznań 64:90
    Latest results of Basket Poznań
    Latest results of Polonia 1912 Leszno
    Polish 1 Liga Basketball Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Bydgoszcz232032051:177343
    2Starogard Gdanski241682027:192340
    3GKS Tychy241591965:196039
    4Pelplin241592082:197439
    5Lancut241592041:206139
    6LKS Lodz221661914:172738
    7Spojnia Stargard231491904:184937
    8Poznan2311121842:182634
    9WKK Wroclaw2311121876:189334
    10Polonia Warszawa2311121846:191934
    11Leszno2410141905:200434
    12Inowroclaw249151919:199533
    13Kotwica Kolobrzeg2210121750:168732
    14R. Rzeszow229131813:184631
    15Poli. Opolska237161876:195830
    16Miners Katowice246181918:205730
    17Zubry Bialystok222201678:195524

          Promotion ~ 1. Liga (Play Offs: )
          Relegation