Garbarnia Kraków vs Polonia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 2 Garbarnia Kraków - Polonia Warsaw
Result
1:3
13/05/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 31

Chances of winning


Garbarnia Kraków
22%
Draw
24.7%
Polonia Warsaw
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31% 28.6% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 28% 41.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Garbarnia Kraków has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Garbarnia Kraków's form might have worsened.
  • Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Warsaw's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbarnia Kraków than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Garbarnia Kraków, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Garbarnia Kraków - Polonia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.98
    (3)
    3.68
    (3.25)
    1.71
    (2.3)
    10.7%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Garbarnia Kraków - Polonia Warsaw?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Garbarnia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Polonia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 35.9%97.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1).
    • Garbarnia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Polonia in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Garbarnia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Polonia is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Garbarnia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Garbarnia Kraków - Polonia Warsaw were as follows:
    07.10.2022 Polonia Warsaw - Garbarnia Kraków 1:1
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ol. Grudziadz1173124:131124
    2Podhale Nowy Targ1156014:7721
    3R. Rzeszow1255220:14620
    4Skierniewice1161421:14719
    5Warta Poznan1154217:13419
    6Sandecja Nowy S1153320:17318
    7Zaglebie Sosnowiec1153317:17018
    8S. Wola1144324:20416
    9Hutnik Krakow1143420:19115
    10Swit Szczecin1143419:22-315
    11Podbeskidzie1142517:19-214
    12Kleczew1133519:19012
    13Slask Wroclaw II1133516:17-112
    14KKS Kalisz1133512:15-312
    15Bielsko-Biala1133514:19-512
    16Chojniczanka1125417:23-611
    17LKS Lodz II1215611:19-88
    18GKS Jastrzebie110388:23-153

          Promotion ~ Division 1
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation