Result
2:1
25/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 14
- Referee: Kaliszewski F. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Salihu H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Wojtyra K. ↓, Arak J. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 1, Kwiatkowski O. ⚽, Arak J. (A),
- 57', Brasido D. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 1, Gnaase D. ⚽,
- 63', 2 - 1, Dadok R. ⚽, Gnaase D. (A),
- 65', Zielinski L. 🟨,
- 65', 🟨,
- 66', Calavera J. ↓, Michalski K. ↑,
- 66', Andrzejczak K. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
- 67', Vasin N. ↓, Wojciechowski O. ↑,
- 77', Zielinski L. ↓, Apolinarski J. ↑,
- 82', Poczobut B. 🟨,
- 82', Szymanski J. ↓, Szymusik G. ↑,
- 86', Hoxhallari E. 🟨,
- 89', Hoxhallari E. ↓, Janasik P. ↑,
- 90+5', Vega D. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Polonia Warsaw 40.9% | Draw 25.4% | Polonia Bytom 33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Polonia Bytom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Bytom than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Polonia Warsaw - Polonia Bytom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.27 ↑ (2.16) |
3.67 ↑ (3.59) |
2.8 ↓ (2.91) |
7% (8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Polonia Bytom?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Polonia Bytom will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Polonia Bytom (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Polonia Bytom (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Polonia has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Polonia Bytom has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Polonia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Polonia Warsaw won against Polonia Bytom?
Polonia Warsaw has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Polonia Bytom won against Polonia Warsaw?
Polonia Bytom has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Polonia Bytom were as follows:
Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
Latest results of Polonia Bytom
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 53:18 | 35 | 48 |
| 2 | Chrobry Glogow | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Wieczysta Krakow | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 47:33 | 14 | 37 |
| 4 | Polonia Warszawa | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 37:31 | 6 | 37 |
| 5 | Grodzisk M | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 39:29 | 10 | 36 |
| 6 | S. Rzeszow | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 7 | Polonia Bytom | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 35 |
| 8 | Slask Wroclaw | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 40:36 | 4 | 34 |
| 9 | Legnica | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 39:39 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | LKS Lodz | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:35 | -1 | 32 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 31 |
| 12 | Odra Opole | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Pogon Siedlce | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
| 14 | Puszcza | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 27:29 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Pruszkow | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 23:44 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 | Leczna | 22 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 25:41 | -16 | 15 |
| 17 | Tychy | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 27:48 | -21 | 14 |
| 18 | Stal Mielec | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 25:48 | -23 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2