Polonia Warsaw vs Puszcza Niepołomice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 10
  • Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
154
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
154
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
90
Corner Kicks
63
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1610
Throw-ins
2915
Fouls
1016

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', Salihu H. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Nascimento F. (Pen),
  • 25', 0 - 2, Simon C. , Nascimento F. (A),
  • 45', Janasik P. , Brasido D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Salihu H. , Szur P. ,
  • 55', Stec J. 🟨,
  • 58', Simon C. , Smiglewski K. ,
  • 58', Stec J. , Stepien K. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Szur P. , Skrabb S. (A),
  • 62', Skrabb S. , Bajdur M. ,
  • 62', Dadok R. , Vega D. ,
  • 68', Iwao K. , Stepien M. ,
  • 74', Piekarski A. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 74', Cholewiak M. , Korczakowski O. ,
  • 75', Mrozinski P. 🟨,
  • 83', Poczobut B. , Buksa A. ,
  • 90+1', Bajdur M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Barczak N. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Korczakowski O. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Brasido D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
38.7%
Draw
30.4%
Puszcza Niepołomice
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 25.2% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 24.7% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
  • Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puszcza Niepołomice's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+14%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (1.78)
    4.15
    (3.65)
    3.84
    (4)
    -21.6%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 44.1%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Puszcza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Polonia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice were as follows:
    27.02.2025 Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice 1:2
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla971132:102222
    2Slask Wroclaw1062218:15320
    3Polonia Bytom1061318:12619
    4KS Wieczysta Krakow953120:91118
    5Ruch Chorzow1044215:12316
    6Grodzisk M1043320:16415
    7S. Rzeszow1042415:15014
    8Chrobry Glogow1034314:12213
    9Polonia Warszawa1034316:17-113
    10Odra Opole1034310:13-313
    11Pogon Siedlce1033411:10112
    12LKS Lodz1033414:14012
    13Tychy1032515:20-511
    14Legnica1032514:22-811
    15Stal Mielec1032513:21-811
    16Puszcza101639:12-39
    17Leczna1006413:22-96
    18Pruszkow1020812:27-156

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2