Stal Rzeszów vs Polonia Warsaw – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw
Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 32
  • Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
2218
Shots on target
69
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
2218
Shots on target
69
Shots off target
134
Blocked Shots
35
Corner Kicks
24
Offsides
11
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
138
Goalkeeper Saves
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 14', Zjawinski L. (Pen),
  • 14', 0 - 1, Zjawinski L. ,
  • 35', 0 - 2, Bajdur M. , Szur P. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Musik M. , Bala T. ,
  • 61', Kucharski J. , Piotrowski B. ,
  • 68', Bajdur M. , Vasin N. ,
  • 78', Koton K. , Kluska M. ,
  • 78', Vega D. , Predenkiewicz M. ,
  • 85', Wojciechowski O. 🟨,
  • 88', 1 - 2, Bala T. , Koscielny K. (A),
  • 90+1', Terpilowski E. , Mlynski M. ,
  • 90+1', Zjawinski L. , Spiewak K. ,

Chances of winning


Stal Rzeszów
29.7%
Draw
25.6%
Polonia Warsaw
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 25.9% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 26.3% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stal Rzeszów's form might have worsened.
  • Polonia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polonia Warsaw's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stal Rzeszów, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.14
    (2.6)
    3.64
    (3.5)
    2.08
    (2.3)
    7.3%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Polonia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Polonia Warsaw will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Stal Rzeszów has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Polonia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Stal Rzeszów has had a series of away games.
    • Polonia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stal Rzeszów won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Stal Rzeszów won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw were as follows:
    04.11.2024 Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów 1:0
    26.05.2024 Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw 1:2
    01.12.2023 Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów 2:2
    Latest results of Stal Rzeszów
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla11004:043
    2Polonia Bytom11003:033
    3Chrobry Glogow11003:033
    4Tychy11004:313
    5Grodzisk M11002:113
    6LKS Lodz11001:013
    7Slask Wroclaw10101:101
    8Ruch Chorzow10101:101
    9Polonia Warszawa10101:101
    10Puszcza10101:101
    11Pogon Siedlce10101:101
    12KS Wieczysta Krakow10101:101
    13Legnica10013:4-10
    14S. Rzeszow10011:2-10
    15Pruszkow10010:1-10
    16Odra Opole10010:3-30
    17Leczna10010:3-30
    18Stal Mielec10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2