Polonia Warsaw vs Stal Rzeszów – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Division 1 Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów
Result
2:3
03/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 12
  • Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport

Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
83
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
1111
Corner Kicks
83
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1812
Throw-ins
198
Fouls
1216

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Krasovskiy V. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Wolski F. , Warczak P. (A),
  • 27', 0 - 2, Slawinski O. , Thill S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 3, Wolski F. , Kadziolka S. (A),
  • 54', Krasovskiy V. , Soja M. ,
  • 60', Bajdur M. , Poczobut B. ,
  • 60', Wojciechowski O. , Piotrowski B. ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Szur P. , Poczobut B. (A),
  • 65', Lyczko S. , Masiak K. ,
  • 65', Zjawinski L. 🟨,
  • 71', Slawinski O. 🟨,
  • 75', Dadok R. , Buksa A. ,
  • 75', Wolski F. , Kukulka K. ,
  • 75', Slawinski O. , Musik M. ,
  • 80', Kadziolka S. 🟨,
  • 81', Szur P. 🟨,
  • 88', Thill S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 3, Zjawinski L. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
44.9%
Draw
26.3%
Stal Rzeszów
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 21.4% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 20.8% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
  • Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Rzeszów's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Rzeszów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (1.58)
    4.28
    (4.38)
    3.85
    (4.82)
    -12.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Polonia Warsaw will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Polonia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw 1:2
    04.11.2024 Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów 1:0
    26.05.2024 Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw 1:2
    01.12.2023 Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów 2:2
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Latest results of Stal Rzeszów
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla1292137:112629
    2Slask Wroclaw1373322:19324
    3KS Wieczysta Krakow1365228:171123
    4Grodzisk M1364327:19822
    5Chrobry Glogow1364320:13722
    6Polonia Bytom1363419:14521
    7S. Rzeszow1362522:23-120
    8LKS Lodz1353521:19218
    9Odra Opole1346313:14-118
    10Ruch Chorzow1345419:21-217
    11Pogon Siedlce1344517:15216
    12Legnica1343618:27-915
    13Polonia Warszawa1335519:23-414
    14Tychy1333720:29-912
    15Puszcza1218311:14-311
    16Stal Mielec1332817:28-1111
    17Leczna1317516:25-910
    18Pruszkow1331916:31-1510

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2