Result
2:3
03/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 12
- Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 8', Krasovskiy V. 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Wolski F. ⚽, Warczak P. (A),
- 27', 0 - 2, Slawinski O. ⚽, Thill S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', 0 - 3, Wolski F. ⚽, Kadziolka S. (A),
- 54', Krasovskiy V. ↓, Soja M. ↑,
- 60', Bajdur M. ↓, Poczobut B. ↑,
- 60', Wojciechowski O. ↓, Piotrowski B. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 3, Szur P. ⚽, Poczobut B. (A),
- 65', Lyczko S. ↓, Masiak K. ↑,
- 65', Zjawinski L. 🟨,
- 71', Slawinski O. 🟨,
- 75', Dadok R. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,
- 75', Wolski F. ↓, Kukulka K. ↑,
- 75', Slawinski O. ↓, Musik M. ↑,
- 80', Kadziolka S. 🟨,
- 81', Szur P. 🟨,
- 88', Thill S. 🟨,
- 90+2', 2 - 3, Zjawinski L. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Polonia Warsaw
44.9% | Draw
26.3% | Stal Rzeszów
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Warsaw's form might have worsened.Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Rzeszów's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+15.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-9.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Rzeszów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(1.58) |
4.28 ↓
(4.38) |
3.85 ↓
(4.82) |
-12.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 35.2% – 84.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Polonia (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Stal Rzeszów (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Stal Rzeszów (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Polonia (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Stal Rzeszów (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Polonia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Polonia Warsaw won against Stal Rzeszów?
Polonia Warsaw has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stal Rzeszów won against Polonia Warsaw?
Stal Rzeszów has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów were as follows:
10.05.2025
Stal Rzeszów
-
Polonia Warsaw
1:2
04.11.2024
Polonia Warsaw
-
Stal Rzeszów
1:0
26.05.2024
Stal Rzeszów
-
Polonia Warsaw
1:2
01.12.2023
Polonia Warsaw
-
Stal Rzeszów
2:2
Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
Latest results of Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Wisla | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 57:24 | 33 | 52 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49:39 | 10 | 43 |
| 3 | Grodzisk M | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 44:35 | 9 | 42 |
| 4 | Chrobry Glogow | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 41 |
| 5 | Wieczysta Krakow | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 51:35 | 16 | 40 |
| 6 | Polonia Warszawa | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:36 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | Ruch Chorzow | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 38:34 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Legnica | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 43:43 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | LKS Lodz | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 36:36 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | S. Rzeszow | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Polonia Bytom | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 35 |
| 12 | Puszcza | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 34:31 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Odra Opole | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 25:32 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Pogon Siedlce | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 26:28 | -2 | 30 |
| 15 | Stal Mielec | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 20 |
| 16 | Pruszkow | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26:49 | -23 | 20 |
| 17 | Leczna | 25 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 27:46 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Tychy | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ Division 2
