Polonia Warszawa vs Basket 25 Bydgoszcz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
89:86
06/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Basket Liga Women - Play Out - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7568
Field goals made
3131
Field goals %
41.33%45.59%
2-point field goals attempts
5042
2-point field goals made
2323
2-point field goals %
46%54.76%
3-point field goals attempts
2526
3-point field goals made
88
3-point field goals %
32%30.77%
Free throws attempts
2320
Free throws made
1916
Free throws %
82.6%80%
Offensive rebounds
165
Defensive rebounds
3225
Total rebounds
4830
Assists
106
Blocks
12
Turnovers
1711
Steals
67
Personal fouls
2221

Chances of winning


Polonia Warszawa
60.3%
Basket 25 Bydgoszcz
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 49.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Warszawa's form might have worsened.
  • Basket 25 Bydgoszcz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basket 25 Bydgoszcz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polonia Warszawa than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polonia Warszawa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket 25 Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basket 25 Bydgoszcz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Polonia Warszawa - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.4)

    2.33
    (2.65)
    8%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 152.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia Warszawa won 3.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Polonia Warszawa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Polonia Warszawa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Polonia Warszawa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1097:1092. (average 78.4:78).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polonia Warszawa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 589:589. (average 84.1:84.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warszawa - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz were as follows:
    07.01.2026 Polonia Warszawa - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz 89:81
    28.10.2025 Basket 25 Bydgoszcz - Polonia Warszawa 83:80
    16.03.2025 Polonia Warszawa - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz 75:96
    13.03.2025 Basket 25 Bydgoszcz - Polonia Warszawa 61:75
    09.03.2025 Polonia Warszawa - Basket 25 Bydgoszcz 87:73
    Latest results of Polonia Warszawa
    Latest results of Basket 25 Bydgoszcz