Morón vs Ponferrada – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
87:75
11/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda FEB - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainLaLiga+

Chances of winning


Morón
66.3%
Ponferrada
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9% 36.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Morón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Ponferrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morón than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferrada than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Morón - Ponferrada Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.35)

    2.74
    (2.81)
    8.3%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 153.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Morón won 5.
    • Morón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ponferrada is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Morón is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Morón will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Morón won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 724:657. (average 72.4:65.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Morón won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 342:314. (average 85.5:78.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Morón - Ponferrada were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Ponferrada - Morón 61:77
    02.03.2024 Morón - Ponferrada 80:70
    18.11.2023 Ponferrada - Morón 69:75
    11.02.2023 Ponferrada - Morón 76:80
    Latest results of Morón
    05.04.2026 Leonesa - Morón 83:93
    28.03.2026 Morón - Valle de Egüés 77:74
    22.03.2026 Toledo - Morón 74:75
    14.03.2026 Morón - Cáceres CB 86:87
    07.03.2026 Córdoba - Morón 69:74
    Latest results of Ponferrada
    04.04.2026 Ponferrada - Logroño 86:84
    29.03.2026 Iraurgi SB - Ponferrada 85:64
    21.03.2026 Ponferrada - Jaen 79:84
    15.03.2026 Caja 87 - Ponferrada 73:66
    08.03.2026 Valladolid - Ponferrada 86:58