Amorebieta vs Ponferradina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Amorebieta - Ponferradina
Result
3:1
16/02/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
96
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
32
Corner Kicks
56
Goalkeeper Saves
33
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 34', 1 - 0, Masllorens J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Doue M. , Bustos A. ,
  • 46', Sibille K. , Cabanzon Y. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Munoz I. ,
  • 58', 3 - 0, Ben Hamed N. ,
  • 58', Lopez A. , Ramon A. ,
  • 58', Esquerdo V. , Mula A. ,
  • 61', Kaxe , Vicandi A. ,
  • 61', Hervias P. , Camacho S. ,
  • 62', 🟨,
  • 74', Munoz I. , Perez E. ,
  • 76', Ferrer P. , Gomez E. ,
  • 81', Masllorens J. , Coulibaly A. ,
  • 81', Selma D. , Marin A. ,
  • 82', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Andujar D. ,
  • 90+6', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Amorebieta
25.2%
Draw
30.8%
Ponferradina
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.1% 26.4% 53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.6% 25.7% 54.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amorebieta's performance.
  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponferradina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amorebieta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponferradina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Amorebieta - Ponferradina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.67
    (4.49)
    2.96
    (3.42)
    2.11
    (1.69)
    8.4%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Amorebieta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Ponferradina will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1.3:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Amorebieta - Ponferradina were as follows:
    24.11.2024 Ponferradina - Amorebieta 5:2
    Latest results of Amorebieta
    09.02.2025 Leonesa - Amorebieta 2:1
    02.02.2025 Amorebieta - Arenteiro 3:0
    19.01.2025 Amorebieta - Tarazona 2:2
    12.01.2025 Osasuna B - Amorebieta 3:0
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3