Ponferradina vs Arenteiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
13/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
106
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Total shots
165
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
111
Corner Kicks
106

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Alpha M. 🟨,
  • 31', Fernandez X. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Mingo V. ,
  • 61', Sousa V. , San Emeterio F. ,
  • 61', Fernandez X. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 61', Keita A. , Mula A. ,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Mingo V. ,
  • 69', 0 - 3, Bastida A. ,
  • 71', Cortes J. , Sergio Benito ,
  • 76', Safrai , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 78', Alpha M. 🟨,
  • 83', Cuellar J. , Llacer L. ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Sergio Benito ,
  • 90', Aguilar Elizalde E. , Andujar D. ,
  • 90+5', Ferreiro D. , Moya P. ,
  • 90+5', Mingo V. , Ochoa M. ,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
51.3%
Draw
30.2%
Arenteiro
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 29% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 27.9% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Ponferradina - Arenteiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.84)
    3.04
    (3.2)
    4.97
    (4.53)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Arenteiro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Ponferradina (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Ponferradina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ponferradina is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Arenteiro were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Arenteiro - Ponferradina 0:1
    22.09.2024 Ponferradina - Arenteiro 1:2
    06.08.2024 Arenteiro - Ponferradina 0:2
    21.04.2024 Arenteiro - Ponferradina 0:0
    03.01.2024 Ponferradina - Arenteiro 2:1
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Arenteiro
    29.11.2025 Tenerife - Arenteiro 1:0
    22.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ourense CF 0:2
    08.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ferrol 0:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife31198451:183365
    2Celta Vigo B31159747:42554
    3Ponferradina311381035:251047
    4Barakaldo311211840:32847
    5Real Madrid B311371146:41546
    6Zamora311210942:37546
    7Pontevedra311113735:231246
    8Lugo311112830:30045
    9Unionistas311281144:42244
    10Ath Bilbao B311281133:35-244
    11AD Merida311281141:44-344
    12Arenas Getxo311351338:42-444
    13Racing Club Ferrol311261335:36-142
    14Real Aviles311071445:53-837
    15CF Talavera31981432:40-835
    16Guadalajara31981435:46-1135
    17Ourense CF318101332:35-334
    18Cacereno316131229:41-1231
    19Osasuna B31791523:37-1430
    20Arenteiro31681728:42-1426

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