Ponferradina vs Arenteiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
13/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
106
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Total shots
165
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
111
Corner Kicks
106

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Alpha M. 🟨,
  • 31', Fernandez X. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Mingo V. ,
  • 61', Sousa V. , San Emeterio F. ,
  • 61', Fernandez X. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 61', Keita A. , Mula A. ,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Mingo V. ,
  • 69', 0 - 3, Bastida A. ,
  • 71', Cortes J. , Sergio Benito ,
  • 76', Safrai , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 78', Alpha M. 🟨,
  • 83', Cuellar J. , Llacer L. ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Sergio Benito ,
  • 90', Aguilar Elizalde E. , Andujar D. ,
  • 90+5', Ferreiro D. , Moya P. ,
  • 90+5', Mingo V. , Ochoa M. ,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
51.3%
Draw
30.2%
Arenteiro
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 29% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 27.9% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Ponferradina - Arenteiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.84)
    3.04
    (3.2)
    4.97
    (4.53)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Arenteiro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Ponferradina (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Ponferradina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ponferradina is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Arenteiro were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Arenteiro - Ponferradina 0:1
    22.09.2024 Ponferradina - Arenteiro 1:2
    06.08.2024 Arenteiro - Ponferradina 0:2
    21.04.2024 Arenteiro - Ponferradina 0:0
    03.01.2024 Ponferradina - Arenteiro 2:1
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Arenteiro
    29.11.2025 Tenerife - Arenteiro 1:0
    22.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ourense CF 0:2
    08.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ferrol 0:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

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