Ponferradina vs Arenteiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
13/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
106
Yellow Cards
12
Red Cards
01
Total shots
165
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
111
Corner Kicks
106

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Alpha M. 🟨,
  • 31', Fernandez X. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 53', 0 - 1, Mingo V. ,
  • 61', Sousa V. , San Emeterio F. ,
  • 61', Fernandez X. , Ferrer P. ,
  • 61', Keita A. , Mula A. ,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Mingo V. ,
  • 69', 0 - 3, Bastida A. ,
  • 71', Cortes J. , Sergio Benito ,
  • 76', Safrai , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 78', Alpha M. 🟨,
  • 83', Cuellar J. , Llacer L. ,
  • 87', 1 - 3, Sergio Benito ,
  • 90', Aguilar Elizalde E. , Andujar D. ,
  • 90+5', Ferreiro D. , Moya P. ,
  • 90+5', Mingo V. , Ochoa M. ,
  • 90+9', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
51.3%
Draw
30.2%
Arenteiro
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 29% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 27.9% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Ponferradina - Arenteiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.84)
    3.04
    (3.2)
    4.97
    (4.53)
    8.6%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Arenteiro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Ponferradina (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ponferradina (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Ponferradina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Ponferradina is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponferradina won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ponferradina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Arenteiro were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Arenteiro - Ponferradina 0:1
    22.09.2024 Ponferradina - Arenteiro 1:2
    06.08.2024 Arenteiro - Ponferradina 0:2
    21.04.2024 Arenteiro - Ponferradina 0:0
    03.01.2024 Ponferradina - Arenteiro 2:1
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    Latest results of Arenteiro
    29.11.2025 Tenerife - Arenteiro 1:0
    22.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ourense CF 0:2
    08.11.2025 Arenteiro - Ferrol 0:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife342010455:203570
    2Celta Vigo B341710756:431361
    3Zamora341510946:38855
    4Real Madrid B341581154:431153
    5Pontevedra341314743:261753
    6Ponferradina341491138:29951
    7Barakaldo341312944:341051
    8Unionistas3413101147:44349
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Arenas Getxo341451540:49-947
    11Lugo3411131032:37-546
    12Racing Club Ferrol341371438:43-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles341191449:56-742
    15Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    16CF Talavera34991633:43-1036
    17Guadalajara34991637:52-1536
    18Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    19Osasuna B34891724:39-1533
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

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