Result
1:2 penalties
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Paulista U20 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 73', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90', 🟥,
- Penalties (3 - 4)
- 1, (Pen),
- 1, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
Chances of winning
Ituano U20
52.8% | Draw
26.6% | Ponte Preta U20
20.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituano U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ituano U20's form might have worsened.Ponte Preta U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano U20 than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituano U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta U20 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Ituano U20 - Ponte Preta U20 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.52) |
3.49 ↓
(4.05) |
4.5 ↓
(4.75) |
7.7%
(11.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- Ituano U20 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Ponte Preta U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ponte Preta U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ituano U20 is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ituano U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ituano U20 won against Ponte Preta U20?
Ituano U20 has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta U20 won against Ituano U20?
Ponte Preta U20 has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ituano U20 - Ponte Preta U20 were as follows:
19.09.2025
Ponte Preta U20
-
Ituano U20
1:1
26.03.2025
Ponte Preta U20
-
Ituano U20
0:2
Latest results of Ituano U20
Latest results of Ponte Preta U20
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Palmeiras U20 | Sertaozinho U20 | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Portuguesa U20 | Referencia U20 | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 3 | RB Bragantino U20 | Itapirense U20 | 6 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Novorizontino U20 | Botafogo SP U20 | 1 : 3, 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Guarani U20 | Desportivo U20 | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | CA Juventus U20 | Gremio Prudente U20 | 0 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Ituano U20 | Sao Caetano U20 | 3 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Ponte Preta U20 | Capivariano U20 | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo U20 | Maua U20 | 2 : 0, 2 : 2 |
| 10 | Santo Andre U20 | Oeste U20 | 1 : 4, 2 : 2 |
| 11 | Ibrachina U20 | Osasco Audax U20 | 6 : 0, 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Ferroviaria U20 | Mirassol U20 | 4 : 2, 2 : 2 |
| 13 | EC Sao Bernardo U20 | Inter de Limeira U20 | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Uniao Suzano U20 | XV de Jau U20 | 4 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Santos U20 | Portuguesa Santista U20 | 3 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Corinthians U20 | Piracicaba U20 | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Palmeiras U20 | Referencia U20 | 3 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | RB Bragantino U20 | Botafogo SP U20 | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Guarani U20 | Gremio Prudente U20 | 2 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Ituano U20 | Ponte Preta U20 | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 5 | Sao Paulo U20 | Oeste U20 | 4 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Ibrachina U20 | Ferroviaria U20 | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 7 | EC Sao Bernardo U20 | Uniao Suzano U20 | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Santos U20 | Corinthians U20 | 3 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Palmeiras U20 | Botafogo SP U20 | |
| 2 | Guarani U20 | Ponte Preta U20 | |
| 3 | Sao Paulo U20 | Ferroviaria U20 | |
| 4 | EC Sao Bernardo U20 | Santos U20 | |
