Result
2:2
24/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 5
- Referee: Nunes G. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (246/311) | 78% (270/348) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (246/311) | 78% (270/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 54% (29/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (37/67) | 55% (58/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.46 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 22% (2/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 2', Maycon ↓, Ronaldo Alves ↑,
- 11', 0 - 1, Denner ⚽, Pedro Carrerette (A),
- 18', 1 - 1, Cristiano ⚽, Vitor Pernambuco (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Pacheco ⚽, Vitor Pernambuco (A),
- 42', 2 - 2, Carlao ⚽, Sanchez (A),
- 45+3', Lucas Emanuel 🟨,
- 45+5', Taua 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Jean Carlos ↓, Gustavo Almeida ↑,
- 58', Taua ↓, Cristiano ↑,
- 58', Marlyson ↓, Pedro Felipe ↑,
- 58', Rodrigo Souza ↓, Gustavo Telles ↑,
- 59', Lucas Emanuel ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
- 71', Cristiano 🟨,
- 74', Gustavo Almeida ↓, Julio ↑,
- 82', Sanchez ↓, Leocovick ↑,
- 82', Denner ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 83', Diego Tavares ↓, Kaio Ganga ↑,
- 88', David Braz 🟨,
- 90', Leocovick 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ponte Preta
32% | Draw
32.3% | EC Noroeste
35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponte Preta's form might have worsened.EC Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting EC Noroeste's recent form is better than expected.
Ponte Preta - EC Noroeste Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.94 ↑
(2.2) |
2.95 ↓
(3.1) |
2.69 ↓
(3.3) |
5.2%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta - EC Noroeste?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Noroeste (1.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Noroeste (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A2 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Ponte Preta: Danilo Barcelos
(Inactive)
Joao Gabriel
(Injury)
- There will not play in Noroeste: PH
(Knee Injury)
Peixoto
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Diego M. L.
(Inactive)
Elvis
(Inactive)
Saimon
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Noroeste: Leo Sena
(Injury)
Robertinho
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Ponte Preta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against EC Noroeste?
Ponte Preta has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has EC Noroeste won against Ponte Preta?
EC Noroeste has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - EC Noroeste were as follows:
05.02.2025
EC Noroeste
-
Ponte Preta
1:2
11.03.2023
Ponte Preta
-
EC Noroeste
2:0
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Latest results of EC Noroeste
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
