Ponte Preta vs Guarani – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Ponte Preta - Guarani
Result
1:1
02/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilBandSports, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
67
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
78
Corner Kicks
67
Goalkeeper Saves
14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Emerson Santos 🟨,
  • 15', Caio Mello 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Caio Mello , Kadi Silva ,
  • 50', Elvis 🟨,
  • 58', Raphael 🟨,
  • 60', Kaua Jesus , Isaque ,
  • 60', 1 - 0, Elvis ,
  • 68', Lucas Candido , Leo Oliveira ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Mirandinha , Cicinho (A),
  • 74', Mirandinha , Takahashi R. ,
  • 79', Maguinho , Serginho ,
  • 79', Dudu , Pacheco ,
  • 84', Everton Brito , Bruno Lopes ,
  • 85', Diego Torres , Lucas Justen ,

Chances of winning


Ponte Preta
46.8%
Draw
31.8%
Guarani
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 29.4% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1% 28.1% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponte Preta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Ponte Preta - Guarani Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.79)
    2.88
    (3.08)
    4.29
    (4.55)
    9.3%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Ponte Preta is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.7:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - Guarani were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Ponte Preta - Guarani 2:0
    20.10.2024 Ponte Preta - Guarani 0:1
    30.06.2024 Guarani - Ponte Preta 1:1
    02.09.2023 Guarani - Ponte Preta 1:0
    21.05.2023 Ponte Preta - Guarani 1:1
    Latest results of Ponte Preta
    27.07.2025 Caxias - Ponte Preta 2:1
    19.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Floresta 2:1
    07.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Tombense 1:0
    14.06.2025 Ponte Preta - ABC 0:0
    Latest results of Guarani
    21.07.2025 Anápolis - Guarani 2:0
    13.07.2025 Guarani - Ituano 0:0
    06.07.2025 Londrina - Guarani 1:1
    15.06.2025 Guarani - Itabaiana 2:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias14100424:17730
    2Ponte Preta1583415:13227
    3Londrina1475224:131126
    4Sao Bernardo1575317:9826
    5Nautico1465315:6923
    6Brusque1463515:13221
    7Ypiranga FC1463512:14-221
    8CSA1556418:16221
    9Floresta EC1556412:13-121
    10Ituano1445513:16-317
    11Guarani1545611:14-317
    12Maringa FC1538419:21-217
    13ABC15211216:18-217
    14Botafogo PB1544717:16116
    15Figueirense1537516:16016
    16Anapolis1437411:14-316
    17Itabaiana1442812:17-514
    18Confianca1435615:20-514
    19Retro143476:15-913
    20Tombense1526712:19-712

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D