Result
1:1
02/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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 Brazil | BandSports, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Emerson Santos 🟨,
- 15', Caio Mello 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Caio Mello ↓, Kadi Silva ↑,
- 50', Elvis 🟨,
- 58', Raphael 🟨,
- 60', Kaua Jesus ↓, Isaque ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Elvis ⚽,
- 68', Lucas Candido ↓, Leo Oliveira ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Mirandinha ⚽, Cicinho (A),
- 74', Mirandinha ↓, Takahashi R. ↑,
- 79', Maguinho ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 79', Dudu ↓, Pacheco ↑,
- 84', Everton Brito ↓, Bruno Lopes ↑,
- 85', Diego Torres ↓, Lucas Justen ↑,
Chances of winning
Ponte Preta
46.8% | Draw
31.8% | Guarani
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponte Preta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Ponte Preta - Guarani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.79) |
2.88 ↓
(3.08) |
4.29 ↓
(4.55) |
9.3%
(10.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Ponte Preta is considered a favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Guarani?
Ponte Preta has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Ponte Preta?
Guarani has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - Guarani were as follows:
09.02.2025
Ponte Preta
-
Guarani
2:0
20.10.2024
Ponte Preta
-
Guarani
0:1
30.06.2024
Guarani
-
Ponte Preta
1:1
02.09.2023
Guarani
-
Ponte Preta
1:0
21.05.2023
Ponte Preta
-
Guarani
1:1
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Latest results of Guarani
Brazilian Serie C Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | SER Caxias ✔ | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 26:18 | 8 | 37 |
| 2 | Nautico ✔ | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 22:7 | 15 | 33 |
| 3 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 30 |
| 4 | Londrina ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 30 |
| 5 | Sao Bernardo ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Brusque | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18:17 | 1 | 25 |
| 7 | Ituano | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | -2 | 24 |
| 8 | Floresta EC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 24 |
| 9 | Botafogo PB | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 22:19 | 3 | 23 |
| 10 | Confianca | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Guarani | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 23 |
| 12 | Figueirense | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 21:17 | 4 | 23 |
| 13 | Ypiranga FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 22 |
| 14 | CSA | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 22 |
| 15 | Maringa FC | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 23:24 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Anapolis | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 20 |
| 17 | Itabaiana | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:20 | -5 | 19 |
| 18 | ABC | 18 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 20:24 | -4 | 18 |
| 19 | Retro | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 7:21 | -14 | 14 |
| 20 | Tombense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 12:21 | -9 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
Clinched Spots for Teams
SER Caxias is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Nautico is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Londrina is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
Sao Bernardo is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage )
