Result
2:0
11/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Second stage - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Bruno Lopes ⚽,
- 28', Raphael 🟨,
- 45+4', Bruno Santos 🟨,
- 45+4', Rodrigo Souza 🟨,
- 45+5', Caio Mello 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Caio Mello ↓, Isaque ↑,
- 46', Lucas Justen ↓, Cicinho ↑,
- 56', Luiz Felipe 🟨,
- 56', Mirandinha 🟨,
- 62', Allyson ↓, Jhemerson ↑,
- 65', Cicinho 🟨,
- 70', Dentinho ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
- 70', Rodrigo Souza ↓, Lucas Candido ↑,
- 75', 2 - 0, Luiz Felipe ⚽,
- 77', Luiz Felipe ↓, Gustavo Lopes ↑,
- 77', Diego Tavares ↓, Kevyn ↑,
- 79', Gustavo Lopes 🟨,
- 84', Bruno Lopes ↓, Serginho ↑,
Chances of winning
Ponte Preta
45.8% | Draw
32.1% | Guarani
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ponte Preta's performance.Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ponte Preta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ponte Preta - Guarani Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↓
(2.34) |
3.18 ↑
(2.89) |
5.04 ↑
(3.01) |
-0.5%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta - Guarani?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet)
- Ponte Preta is Qualified for Serie B Superbet
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 2.
- Ponte Preta is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Guarani has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Guarani?
Ponte Preta has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Ponte Preta?
Guarani has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - Guarani were as follows:
06.09.2025
Guarani
-
Ponte Preta
0:1
02.08.2025
Ponte Preta
-
Guarani
1:1
09.02.2025
Ponte Preta
-
Guarani
2:0
20.10.2024
Ponte Preta
-
Guarani
0:1
30.06.2024
Guarani
-
Ponte Preta
1:1
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Latest results of Guarani
Brazilian Serie C Table
Second stageGroup B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Londrina | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 3 | Floresta EC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | SER Caxias | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Nautico | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 3 | Guarani | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Brusque | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet
