Result
1:0
31/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 6
- Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.60 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (276/334) | 80% (289/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (276/334) | 80% (289/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (26/59) | 44% (20/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (53/90) | 57% (56/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Caique Franca 🟥,
- 24', Nathan Melo ↓, Mateus Claus ↑,
- 33', Gustavo Telles ↓, Elvis ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Maranhao ↓, Lucca ↑,
- 57', Mirandinha 🟨,
- 57', Pacheco 🟨,
- 59', Emerson Barbosa 🟨,
- 65', Rodrigo Souza ↓, Machado R. ↑,
- 65', Kevyson ↓, Lucas Emanuel ↑,
- 66', Mirandinha ↓, Hebert ↑,
- 66', Isaque ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
- 77', Cristiano ↓, Luis Phelipe ↑,
- 77', Bryan Borges ↓, Miguel Morais ↑,
- 84', Guilherme Parede ↓, Guilherme Cachoeira ↑,
- 86', Machado R. 🟨,
- 90', Lucca 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Hebert ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- 90+4', Elvis 🟨,
- 90+6', Willian Farias 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guarani
53.7% | Draw
28.2% | Ponte Preta
18.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarani's performance.Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponte Preta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Guarani - Ponte Preta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.92) |
3.28 ↓
(3.33) |
5.07 ↑
(4) |
7.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Paulista A2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 1.
- Guarani has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Ponte Preta has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Guarani is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Guarani: Igor Pereira
(Injury)
- There will not play in Ponte Preta: Danilo Barcelos
(Inactive)
Elvis
(Inactive)
Saimon
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Guarani: Rafael Donato
(Inactive)
Rian
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Diego M. L.
(Inactive)
Joao Gabriel
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Guarani won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guarani won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Guarani won against Ponte Preta?
Guarani has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Guarani?
Ponte Preta has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guarani - Ponte Preta were as follows:
11.10.2025
Ponte Preta
-
Guarani
2:0
06.09.2025
Guarani
-
Ponte Preta
0:1
02.08.2025
Ponte Preta
-
Guarani
1:1
09.02.2025
Ponte Preta
-
Guarani
2:0
20.10.2024
Ponte Preta
-
Guarani
0:1
Latest results of Guarani
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | |
Final
