Ponte Preta vs Itabaiana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Ponte Preta - Itabaiana
Result
1:0
16/08/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
41
Corner Kicks
62
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
125
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
84
Corner Kicks
62
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', Emerson Santos 🟨,
  • 18', Gustavo Crecci , Joao Maranhao ,
  • 19', Dudu 🟨,
  • 36', Kauan Santos 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Jonas Toro ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Gabriel Marques 🟨,
  • 62', Jeh 🟨,
  • 63', Leilson , David ,
  • 63', Robinho , Elimar ,
  • 65', Dudu , Gustavo Lopes ,
  • 69', Jeh , Serginho ,
  • 69', Emerson Santos , Sergio Raphael ,
  • 75', Kauan Santos , Fabricio Oya ,
  • 75', Gabriel Marques , Joao Vitor ,
  • 76', Bruno Lopes , Diego Tavares ,
  • 84', Elvis 🟨,
  • 86', Fabricio Oya 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ponte Preta
55.3%
Draw
27.6%
Itabaiana
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.4% 26.1% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 26.4% 18.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Ponte Preta - Itabaiana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.64)
    3.31
    (3.48)
    5.34
    (4.9)
    9.5%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ponte Preta - Itabaiana?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ponte Preta (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Itabaiana (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Ponte Preta will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 15).
    • Ponte Preta is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Itabaiana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Ponte Preta is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponte Preta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    Latest results of Ponte Preta
    09.08.2025 Botafogo PB - Ponte Preta 2:1
    02.08.2025 Ponte Preta - Guarani 1:1
    27.07.2025 Caxias - Ponte Preta 2:1
    19.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Floresta 2:1
    Latest results of Itabaiana
    11.08.2025 Itabaiana - CS Alagoano 1:0
    04.08.2025 Brusque - Itabaiana 0:0
    27.07.2025 Itabaiana - Ituano 3:1
    19.07.2025 Londrina - Itabaiana 2:0
    12.07.2025 Itabaiana - Confiança 0:0
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    Second stage

    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Londrina20202:202
    2Sao Bernardo20202:202
    3Floresta EC20200:002
    4SER Caxias20200:002


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ponte Preta22002:026
    2Guarani21012:113
    3Nautico21011:2-13
    4Brusque20020:2-20

          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet