Result
0:1
21/01/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 4
- Referee: Marques D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (255/341) | 79% (362/458) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (255/341) | 79% (362/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (17/53) | 52% (45/86) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (51/87) | 54% (50/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (2/19) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.72 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 35 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Romisson ⚽, Pedro Vitor (A),
- 32', Foguinho 🟨,
- 40', Rodrigo Ferreira 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Rodrigo Souza 🟨,
- 56', Rodrigo Souza ↓, Gustavo Telles ↑,
- 56', Vitor Pernambuco ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
- 60', Lucas Emanuel ↓, Kaio Ganga ↑,
- 61', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
- 61', Pedro Vitor ↓, Echapora ↑,
- 62', Augusto ↓, Matheus Salustiano ↑,
- 71', Pedrinho ↓, Victor Andrade ↑,
- 75', Tarik ↓, Nikolas Francisco ↑,
- 76', Jean Carlos ↓, Julio ↑,
- 79', Foguinho ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
- 80', Helder Maciel 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ponte Preta
21.9% | Draw
29.4% | São Bernardo
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Ponte Preta - São Bernardo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↑
(3.5) |
3.17 ↑
(2.98) |
1.88 ↓
(2.18) |
7.8%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta - São Bernardo?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ponte Preta will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). São Bernardo will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for São Bernardo: 46.4% – 99%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): São Bernardo will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 2.
- Ponte Preta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, São Bernardo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Ponte Preta: Danilo Barcelos
(Inactive)
Joao Gabriel
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against São Bernardo?
Ponte Preta has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has São Bernardo won against Ponte Preta?
São Bernardo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - São Bernardo were as follows:
12.07.2025
São Bernardo
-
Ponte Preta
2:0
04.02.2024
Ponte Preta
-
São Bernardo
3:3
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Latest results of São Bernardo
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Novorizontino ✔ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ✔ | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 15 |
| 3 | Bragantino | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Portuguesa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Corinthians | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 11 |
| 6 | Guarani | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Capivariano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Santos | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Mirassol | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Primavera | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Noroeste | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Velo Clube | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta ✔ | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Paulista (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation ~ Paulista A2
Clinched Spots for Teams
Novorizontino is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Palmeiras is Qualified for Paulista (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Ponte Preta is Relegated to Paulista A2
