Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Ianesi S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Farinelli N. ↓, Coveri V. ↑,
- 56', Ianesi S. ↓, Polizzi M. ↑,
- 57', Battimelli G. ↓, Andolfi T. ↑,
- 57', Manuzzi F. ↓, Petrelli E. ↑,
- 57', Scorza C. ↓, Franzolini A. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Vona E. ⚽,
- 63', De Risio C. ↓, Ripani D. ↑,
- 73', Vitali P. 🟨,
- 74', Andolfi T. 🟨,
- 76', Manetti G. ↓, Saporetti S. ↑,
- 76', Ercolani F. 🟨,
- 83', Scaccabarozzi J. ↓, Faggi F. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Franzolini A. ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pontedera
50.6% | Draw
33.9% | Forlì
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontedera's performance.Forlì has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Forlì might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontedera that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (+19.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Forlì could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pontedera - Forlì Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↓
(2.53) |
3.69 ↑
(3.27) |
8.03 ↑
(2.51) |
-19.9%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- Recent form of Pontedera has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Forlì has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pontedera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Pontedera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontedera won against Forlì?
Pontedera has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Forlì won against Pontedera?
Forlì has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pontedera - Forlì were as follows:
Latest results of Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 21 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 17 |
| 4 | Gubbio | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Pianese | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Campobasso | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Sambenedettese | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 8 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Ternana | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Guidonia | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Forli | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Pineto | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Carpi | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Vis Pesaro | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Livorno | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Pontedera | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Torres | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 | Bra | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Perugia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 20 | Rimini | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
