Result
2:2
20/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Di Carmine S. ⚽,
- 32', Cerretti C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', Tarantino J. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
- 57', Paolieri L. ↓, Migliardi F. ↑,
- 58', Peralta D. 🟨,
- 60', Dionisi F. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
- 61', Biondi K. ↓, Bonassi L. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Nabian H. ⚽,
- 74', Marchesi F. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 2, Faggi F. ⚽,
- 75', Faggi F. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 2, Di Carmine S. ⚽,
- 83', Hamlili Z. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,
- 83', Peralta D. ↓, Panattoni M. ↑,
- 87', Manfredonia M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Panattoni M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Livorno
49.5% | Draw
29.2% | Pontedera
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Livorno's performance.Pontedera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontedera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Livorno that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontedera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Livorno - Pontedera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(2.14) |
3.13 ↓
(3.55) |
4.28 ↑
(2.96) |
9.5%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Livorno - Pontedera?
Users Predictions:
Livorno will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Livorno will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 0.
- Livorno has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pontedera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Livorno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Livorno is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Livorno won against Pontedera?
Livorno has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontedera won against Livorno?
Pontedera has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Livorno - Pontedera were as follows:
31.07.2024
Pontedera
-
Livorno
2:1
Latest results of Livorno
Latest results of Pontedera
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 63 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49:19 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 41:26 | 15 | 56 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Ternana | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 6 | Juventus U23 | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Pianese | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 39 |
| 8 | Pineto | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
| 9 | Gubbio | 27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | 22:20 | 2 | 36 |
| 10 | Livorno | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:39 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Forli | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:38 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Vis Pesaro | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Guidonia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 23:25 | -2 | 32 |
| 14 | Carpi | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Bra | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 30:41 | -11 | 26 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Torres | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 25 |
| 18 | Perugia | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 23:49 | -26 | 18 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
