Livorno vs Pontedera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
20/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
17
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
711
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
58
Corner Kicks
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Di Carmine S. ,
  • 32', Cerretti C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', Tarantino J. , Battimelli G. ,
  • 57', Paolieri L. , Migliardi F. ,
  • 58', Peralta D. 🟨,
  • 60', Dionisi F. , Cioffi A. ,
  • 61', Biondi K. , Bonassi L. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Nabian H. ,
  • 74', Marchesi F. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Faggi F. ,
  • 75', Faggi F. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Di Carmine S. ,
  • 83', Hamlili Z. , Odjer M. ,
  • 83', Peralta D. , Panattoni M. ,
  • 87', Manfredonia M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Panattoni M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Livorno
49.5%
Draw
29.2%
Pontedera
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 25.9% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 25.1% 30.1%

Livorno - Pontedera Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.84
(2.14)
3.13
(3.55)
4.28
(2.96)
9.5%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Livorno - Pontedera?
  • Users Predictions: Livorno will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Livorno will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 0.
    • Livorno has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pontedera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Livorno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Livorno is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Livorno - Pontedera were as follows:
    31.07.2024 Pontedera - Livorno 2:1
    Latest results of Livorno
    06.12.2025 Livorno - Arezzo 2:1
    29.11.2025 Gubbio - Livorno 0:0
    24.11.2025 Livorno - Sassari Torres 3:1
    16.11.2025 Livorno - Ravenna 1:1
    09.11.2025 Carpi - Livorno 2:0
    Latest results of Pontedera
    14.12.2025 Pontedera - Sambenedettese 1:1
    07.12.2025 Ravenna - Pontedera 2:1
    30.11.2025 Pontedera - Carpi 0:1
    21.11.2025 Bra - Pontedera 2:0
    16.11.2025 Pontedera - Pianese 2:0
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo21154241:162549
    2Ravenna21133533:211242
    3Ascoli21107430:121837
    4Pineto2189431:25633
    5Campobasso2188528:24430
    6Juventus U232186724:24030
    7Pianese21610522:21128
    8Guidonia2177719:19028
    9Vis Pesaro2069520:19127
    10Carpi2176822:27-527
    11Ternana2087522:18426
    12Forli21741025:31-625
    13Sambenedettese2158820:21-123
    14Gubbio20411516:17-123
    15Livorno21641120:31-1122
    16Bra2148923:31-820
    17Perugia21471021:27-619
    18Torres21210915:27-1216
    19Pontedera21361216:37-2115
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation