Livorno vs Pontedera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
20/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
17
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
711
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
58
Corner Kicks
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Di Carmine S. ,
  • 32', Cerretti C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', Tarantino J. , Battimelli G. ,
  • 57', Paolieri L. , Migliardi F. ,
  • 58', Peralta D. 🟨,
  • 60', Dionisi F. , Cioffi A. ,
  • 61', Biondi K. , Bonassi L. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Nabian H. ,
  • 74', Marchesi F. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Faggi F. ,
  • 75', Faggi F. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Di Carmine S. ,
  • 83', Hamlili Z. , Odjer M. ,
  • 83', Peralta D. , Panattoni M. ,
  • 87', Manfredonia M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Panattoni M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Livorno
49.5%
Draw
29.2%
Pontedera
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 25.9% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 25.1% 30.1%

Livorno - Pontedera Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.84
(2.14)
3.13
(3.55)
4.28
(2.96)
9.5%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Livorno - Pontedera?
  • Users Predictions: Livorno will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Livorno will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 0.
    • Livorno has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pontedera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Livorno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Livorno is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Livorno - Pontedera were as follows:
    31.07.2024 Pontedera - Livorno 2:1
    Latest results of Livorno
    06.12.2025 Livorno - Arezzo 2:1
    29.11.2025 Gubbio - Livorno 0:0
    24.11.2025 Livorno - Sassari Torres 3:1
    16.11.2025 Livorno - Ravenna 1:1
    09.11.2025 Carpi - Livorno 2:0
    Latest results of Pontedera
    14.12.2025 Pontedera - Sambenedettese 1:1
    07.12.2025 Ravenna - Pontedera 2:1
    30.11.2025 Pontedera - Carpi 0:1
    21.11.2025 Bra - Pontedera 2:0
    16.11.2025 Pontedera - Pianese 2:0
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ravenna18132331:171441
    2Arezzo18124235:152040
    3Ascoli1897227:72034
    4Pineto1877425:21428
    5Vis Pesaro1869320:14627
    6Guidonia1876515:12327
    7Carpi1875621:22-126
    8Forli1873824:27-324
    9Ternana1877420:16423
    10Campobasso1867522:21123
    11Pianese1858516:17-123
    12Juventus U231856719:23-421
    13Gubbio18310515:17-219
    14Livorno1854916:27-1119
    15Sambenedettese1846816:19-318
    16Perugia1836918:24-615
    17Bra1836918:27-915
    18Pontedera18351014:32-1814
    19Torres181899:23-1411
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation