Livorno vs Pontedera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
20/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Calcio

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
23
Corner Kicks
17
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
711
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
58
Corner Kicks
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Di Carmine S. ,
  • 32', Cerretti C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 56', Tarantino J. , Battimelli G. ,
  • 57', Paolieri L. , Migliardi F. ,
  • 58', Peralta D. 🟨,
  • 60', Dionisi F. , Cioffi A. ,
  • 61', Biondi K. , Bonassi L. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Nabian H. ,
  • 74', Marchesi F. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Faggi F. ,
  • 75', Faggi F. 🟨,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Di Carmine S. ,
  • 83', Hamlili Z. , Odjer M. ,
  • 83', Peralta D. , Panattoni M. ,
  • 87', Manfredonia M. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Panattoni M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Livorno
49.5%
Draw
29.2%
Pontedera
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 25.9% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 25.1% 30.1%

Livorno - Pontedera Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.84
(2.14)
3.13
(3.55)
4.28
(2.96)
9.5%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Livorno - Pontedera?
  • Users Predictions: Livorno will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.41%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Livorno will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 0.
    • Livorno has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Pontedera has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Livorno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Livorno is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Livorno won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Livorno won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Livorno - Pontedera were as follows:
    31.07.2024 Pontedera - Livorno 2:1
    Latest results of Livorno
    06.12.2025 Livorno - Arezzo 2:1
    29.11.2025 Gubbio - Livorno 0:0
    24.11.2025 Livorno - Sassari Torres 3:1
    16.11.2025 Livorno - Ravenna 1:1
    09.11.2025 Carpi - Livorno 2:0
    Latest results of Pontedera
    14.12.2025 Pontedera - Sambenedettese 1:1
    07.12.2025 Ravenna - Pontedera 2:1
    30.11.2025 Pontedera - Carpi 0:1
    21.11.2025 Bra - Pontedera 2:0
    16.11.2025 Pontedera - Pianese 2:0
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo24175244:162856
    2Ravenna24154537:231449
    3Ascoli24137438:152346
    4Juventus U2324106828:25336
    5Pineto2499633:29436
    6Campobasso2498731:28333
    7Vis Pesaro23710624:23131
    8Pianese24710725:25031
    9Ternana2398625:22330
    10Gubbio23611619:18129
    11Guidonia2378820:21-129
    12Carpi24771022:29-728
    13Livorno24841225:36-1128
    14Forli23751126:34-826
    15Sambenedettese24591020:24-424
    16Bra24591026:34-824
    17Perugia24581124:30-623
    18Torres243111018:31-1320
    19Pontedera23371320:42-2216
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation