Recanatese vs Pontedera – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Recanatese - Pontedera
Result
4:5
04/02/2024 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 24
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport

Chances of winning


Recanatese
29.4%
Draw
27%
Pontedera
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 29.2% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2% 28.9% 37.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pontedera's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pontedera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Recanatese - Pontedera Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.75)
    3.38
    (3.1)
    2.1
    (2.38)
    9.6%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Recanatese - Pontedera?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Recanatese will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Pontedera will win (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).
    • Recanatese has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Pontedera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Pontedera will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Recanatese won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Recanatese won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Recanatese - Pontedera were as follows:
    23.09.2023 Pontedera - Recanatese 2:2
    19.02.2023 Recanatese - Pontedera 1:0
    19.10.2022 Pontedera - Recanatese 0:0
    Latest results of Recanatese
    26.01.2024 Recanatese - Fermana 1:3
    20.01.2024 Lucchese - Recanatese 3:1
    14.01.2024 Recanatese - Juventus U23 1:1
    10.01.2024 Gubbio - Recanatese 3:1
    Latest results of Pontedera
    27.01.2024 Pontedera - Perugia 2:3
    20.01.2024 Cesena - Pontedera 4:0
    13.01.2024 Pontedera - Fermana 4:0
    07.01.2024 Sestri Levante - Pontedera 0:2
    22.12.2023 Pontedera - Carrarese 1:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1