Pontedera vs Sambenedettese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
55
Corner Kicks
61
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
01
Total shots
810
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', Pretato M. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 0, Vitali P. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Dalmazzi A. , Chelli M. ,
  • 46', Chelli M. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Battista N. ,
  • 70', Vesprini R. 🟨,
  • 71', Battimelli G. , Migliardi F. ,
  • 75', Alfieri V. , Lulli L. ,
  • 75', Vesprini R. , Marranzino P. ,
  • 75', Eusepi U. , Toure N. ,
  • 82', Battista N. , Toure M. ,
  • 87', Lulli L. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Chelli M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Pontedera
38.4%
Draw
30.2%
Sambenedettese
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 28.8% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8% 27.7% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pontedera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontedera than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • Pontedera - Sambenedettese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.58)
    3.04
    (3.17)
    2.93
    (2.55)
    8.9%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Pontedera - Sambenedettese?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Sambenedettese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Pontedera
    07.12.2025 Ravenna - Pontedera 2:1
    30.11.2025 Pontedera - Carpi 0:1
    21.11.2025 Bra - Pontedera 2:0
    16.11.2025 Pontedera - Pianese 2:0
    Latest results of Sambenedettese
    30.11.2025 Arezzo - Sambenedettese 1:0
    26.11.2025 Sambenedettese - Brescia 1:3
    23.11.2025 Sambenedettese - Pineto 1:1
    15.11.2025 Sambenedettese - Ternana 0:0
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo33218455:223371
    2Ascoli33218459:223771
    3Ravenna34207748:301867
    4Campobasso33159947:371052
    5Pineto3313101041:39249
    6Juventus U23331391143:41248
    7Pianese331015833:32145
    8Ternana3313101039:34544
    9Gubbio3310131028:31-343
    10Vis Pesaro3310131033:32143
    11Livorno341171637:49-1240
    12Guidonia338141128:31-338
    13Carpi339101432:42-1037
    14Perugia338121335:40-536
    15Forli33991539:48-936
    16Torres336161131:42-1134
    17Sambenedettese346131525:34-931
    18Bra336121534:50-1630
    19Pontedera333111926:57-3120
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation