Result
3:1
05/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Jones J. ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Jones J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', 2 - 1, Reffell K. ⚽,
- 67', 3 - 1, Johnson S. ⚽,
- 84', Harling L. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Pontypridd United
27.4% | Draw
24.5% | Carmarthen Town
48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carmarthen Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Pontypridd United - Carmarthen Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(2.91) |
3.71 ↑
(3.41) |
1.9 ↓
(2.14) |
9.8%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pontypridd United - Carmarthen Town?
Users Predictions:
Carmarthen Town will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Carmarthen Town will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
- Pontypridd has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Carmarthen Town is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Carmarthen Town will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pontypridd won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pontypridd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pontypridd United won against Carmarthen Town?
Pontypridd United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carmarthen Town won against Pontypridd United?
Carmarthen Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pontypridd United - Carmarthen Town were as follows:
07.03.2025
Pontypridd United
-
Carmarthen Town
1:3
09.11.2024
Carmarthen Town
-
Pontypridd United
0:1
Latest results of Pontypridd United
Latest results of Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23:3 | 20 | 22 |
| 2 | Trefelin | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:6 | 11 | 17 |
| 4 | Cardiff Draconians | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 6 | Ammanford | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Newport City | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Aberystwyth | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Baglan Dragons | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Afan Lido | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 7 |
| 14 | Treowen | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11:22 | -11 | 6 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7:25 | -18 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
