Result
3:1
05/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Jones J. ⚽,
- 45+3', 2 - 0, Jones J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 65', 2 - 1, Reffell K. ⚽,
- 67', 3 - 1, Johnson S. ⚽,
- 84', Harling L. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Pontypridd United 27.4% | Draw 24.5% | Carmarthen Town 48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carmarthen Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Pontypridd United - Carmarthen Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.33 ↑ (2.91) |
3.71 ↑ (3.41) |
1.9 ↓ (2.14) |
9.8% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pontypridd United - Carmarthen Town?
Users Predictions:
Carmarthen Town will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Carmarthen Town will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
- Pontypridd has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Carmarthen Town is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Carmarthen Town will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Pontypridd won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pontypridd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pontypridd United won against Carmarthen Town?
Pontypridd United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carmarthen Town won against Pontypridd United?
Carmarthen Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pontypridd United - Carmarthen Town were as follows:
07.03.2025
Pontypridd United
-
Carmarthen Town
1:3
09.11.2024
Carmarthen Town
-
Pontypridd United
0:1
Latest results of Pontypridd United
Latest results of Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cambrian United ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 68:18 | 50 | 66 |
| 2 | Trefelin ✔ | 26 | 21 | 3 | 2 | 61:15 | 46 | 66 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:33 | 27 | 50 |
| 4 | Ammanford | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 50 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 32:32 | 0 | 42 |
| 7 | Llantwit Major | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 40:38 | 2 | 36 |
| 8 | Newport City | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:39 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Treowen | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 46:51 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Cardiff Draconians | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:39 | -3 | 32 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 42:46 | -4 | 29 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:55 | -17 | 26 |
| 13 | Afan Lido | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 26:52 | -26 | 24 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25:42 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 24:48 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 24 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 18:61 | -43 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier