Result
0:1
04/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Marsh T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Carmarthen Town
58.9% | Draw
21.5% | Pontypridd United
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carmarthen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carmarthen Town's performance.Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontypridd United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmarthen Town than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carmarthen Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontypridd United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carmarthen Town - Pontypridd United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.85) |
4.27 ↑
(3.9) |
4.68 ↑
(3.3) |
9.1%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 12).
- Carmarthen Town is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Pontypridd has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pontypridd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Carmarthen Town has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Carmarthen Town is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Carmarthen Town will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carmarthen Town won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carmarthen Town won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Carmarthen Town won against Pontypridd United?
Carmarthen Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontypridd United won against Carmarthen Town?
Pontypridd United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carmarthen Town - Pontypridd United were as follows:
05.09.2025
Pontypridd United
-
Carmarthen Town
3:1
07.03.2025
Pontypridd United
-
Carmarthen Town
1:3
09.11.2024
Carmarthen Town
-
Pontypridd United
0:1
Latest results of Carmarthen Town
Latest results of Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 66 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 55 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 23 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 32 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 2 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | -12 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | -12 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | -25 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | -17 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | -26 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | -29 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | -53 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
