Caerau Ely vs Pontypridd United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United
Result
2:0
25/08/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 5

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Bishop L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 68', 2 - 0, Harrison L. ,

Chances of winning


Caerau Ely
54.5%
Draw
23.5%
Pontypridd United
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.9% 23.9% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 23.2% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.82)
    3.93
    (3.8)
    4.2
    (3.46)
    8.4%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Caerau is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pontypridd is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Caerau is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caerau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Caerau won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United were as follows:
    04.02.2025 Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United 0:1
    23.08.2024 Pontypridd United - Caerau Ely 1:0
    Latest results of Caerau Ely
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United971123:32022
    2Trefelin953120:81218
    3Caerau Ely852117:61117
    4Cardiff Draconians951313:8516
    5Carmarthen Town944110:5516
    6Ammanford94419:7216
    7Newport City843113:8515
    8Aberystwyth84228:6214
    9Trethomas Bluebirds924314:17-310
    10Baglan Dragons915310:1008
    11Pontypridd922513:17-48
    12Llantwit Major91449:13-47
    13Afan Lido92169:18-97
    14Treowen913511:22-116
    15Ynyshir Albions81257:20-135
    16Cwmbran Celtic90367:25-183

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation