Caerau Ely vs Pontypridd United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United
Result
0:1
04/02/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: Cymru South - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 83', 0 - 1, Gullick L. ,

Chances of winning


Caerau Ely
37.1%
Draw
25.9%
Pontypridd United
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 24.2% 45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 23.4% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caerau Ely's performance.
  • Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontypridd United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caerau Ely that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontypridd United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.95)
    3.52
    (3.75)
    2.47
    (2.02)
    9.6%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Caerau will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Pontypridd will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Caerau: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United were as follows:
    23.08.2024 Pontypridd United - Caerau Ely 1:0
    Latest results of Caerau Ely
    Latest results of Pontypridd United
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carmarthen Town11004:043
    2Cambrian United11004:043
    3Caerau Ely11004:133
    4Baglan Dragons11003:033
    5Aberystwyth11002:113
    6Trefelin11002:113
    7Ammanford11001:013
    8Newport City11001:013
    9Llantwit Major10011:2-10
    10Trethomas Bluebirds10011:2-10
    11Afan Lido10010:1-10
    12Cardiff Draconians10010:1-10
    13Ynyshir Albions10011:4-30
    14Pontypridd10010:3-30
    15Cwmbran Celtic10010:4-40
    16Treowen10010:4-40

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