Llantwit Major vs Pontypridd United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
11/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Stokes T. M. ,
  • 11', 2 - 0, Bevan L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Llantwit Major
57.8%
Draw
26.1%
Pontypridd United
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 26.6% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9% 26.5% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Llantwit Major has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llantwit Major's performance.
  • Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pontypridd United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llantwit Major than the current prediction. (-20.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llantwit Major that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+20.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pontypridd United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Llantwit Major - Pontypridd United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.46)
    4.84
    (3.39)
    7.79
    (2.46)
    -20.7%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 11)
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Pontypridd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llantwit Major won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:10. (average 1.8:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Llantwit Major won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 2.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Llantwit Major - Pontypridd United were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Llantwit Major - Pontypridd United 1:1
    07.09.2024 Pontypridd United - Llantwit Major 1:1
    Latest results of Llantwit Major
    Latest results of Pontypridd United
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trefelin22183150:104057
    2Cambrian United22182256:164056
    3Ammanford23118432:211141
    4Caerau Ely23124748:321640
    5Aberystwyth23123829:26339
    6Carmarthen Town24811529:27235
    7Newport City23810532:29334
    8Cardiff Draconians21102932:27532
    9Llantwit Major2379730:30030
    10Treowen2175935:40-526
    11Pontypridd22741133:34-125
    12Baglan Dragons22481022:31-920
    13Trethomas Bluebirds23481129:45-1620
    14Afan Lido23531520:43-2318
    15Ynyshir Albions23351517:47-3014
    16Cwmbran Celtic20051514:50-365

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