Trethomas Bluebirds vs Pontypridd United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
20/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Hood J. ,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Jones J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 1, Shaw J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 64', 2 - 2, Newman Jones A. (Own goal),
  • 78', 3 - 2, Newman Jones A. ,
  • 90+5', 4 - 2, Rees O. ,

Chances of winning


Trethomas Bluebirds
32.8%
Draw
25.6%
Pontypridd United
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 25.2% 41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 24.4% 43.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trethomas Bluebirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Pontypridd United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trethomas Bluebirds than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontypridd United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.76
    (2.75)
    3.53
    (3.59)
    2.18
    (2.16)
    10.5%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 and 11)
    • Trethomas Bluebirds has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Pontypridd is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Trethomas Bluebirds may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trethomas Bluebirds won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Trethomas Bluebirds won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontypridd United were as follows:
    28.11.2025 Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds 2:1
    12.04.2025 Trethomas Bluebirds - Pontypridd United 4:0
    14.09.2024 Pontypridd United - Trethomas Bluebirds 2:3
    Latest results of Trethomas Bluebirds
    Latest results of Pontypridd United
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United ✔ 26213268:185066
    2Trefelin ✔ 26213261:154666
    3Caerau Ely27155760:332750
    4Ammanford26148438:241450
    5Carmarthen Town271012537:33442
    6Aberystwyth261331032:32042
    7Llantwit Major2799940:38236
    8Newport City27810935:39-434
    9Treowen27971146:51-534
    10Cardiff Draconians251021336:39-332
    11Pontypridd26851342:46-429
    12Trethomas Bluebirds27681338:55-1726
    13Afan Lido27731726:52-2624
    14Baglan Dragons26581325:42-1723
    15Ynyshir Albions26561524:48-2421
    16Cwmbran Celtic24061818:61-436

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
    Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier