Result
2:0
14/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Southern League Premier South - Round 11
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Diaz A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 2 - 0, Gwengwe S. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Poole Town
44.1% | Draw
25% | Dorchester Town
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poole Town's form might have worsened.Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorchester Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poole Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorchester Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Poole Town - Dorchester Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.72) |
3.67 ↓
(3.95) |
2.98 ↓
(4.1) |
8.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Poole Town - Dorchester Town?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Poole (votes: 3 - 60%). Dorchester (votes: 2 - 40%).
Users Predictions:
Poole Town will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poole won 2.
- Poole is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Dorchester has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Dorchester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Poole might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Poole won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Poole won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Poole Town won against Dorchester Town?
Poole Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dorchester Town won against Poole Town?
Dorchester Town has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Poole Town - Dorchester Town were as follows:
21.04.2025
Dorchester Town
-
Poole Town
3:2
26.12.2024
Poole Town
-
Dorchester Town
1:1
26.12.2023
Dorchester Town
-
Poole Town
1:2
28.08.2023
Poole Town
-
Dorchester Town
1:2
10.04.2023
Dorchester Town
-
Poole Town
1:6
Latest results of Poole Town
Latest results of Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 31 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 76:28 | 48 | 73 |
| 2 | Gloucester | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 72:42 | 30 | 64 |
| 3 | Poole | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 61 |
| 4 | Farnham | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 71:37 | 34 | 58 |
| 5 | Sholing | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 56:42 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Chertsey | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 47:35 | 12 | 51 |
| 7 | Gosport | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Berkhamsted | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 9 | Havant & W | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 59:54 | 5 | 47 |
| 10 | Bracknell | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 51:58 | -7 | 44 |
| 11 | Uxbridge | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 53:56 | -3 | 43 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 40 |
| 13 | Evesham | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 40:40 | 0 | 37 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40:45 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Basingstoke | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 42:55 | -13 | 36 |
| 16 | Dorchester | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 40:56 | -16 | 36 |
| 17 | Hungerford | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44:66 | -22 | 36 |
| 18 | Yate Town | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 40:52 | -12 | 34 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36:62 | -26 | 31 |
| 20 | Taunton | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 46:59 | -13 | 30 |
| 21 | Plymouth Parkway | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 37:61 | -24 | 30 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 28 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 30:70 | -40 | 14 |
Promotion ~ National League South
Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )
Relegation
