Poole Town vs Weymouth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Southern League South Division Poole Town - Weymouth
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Southern League Premier South - Round 10

Chances of winning


Poole Town
53%
Draw
24.8%
Weymouth
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 26.6% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 26.2% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poole Town's performance.
  • Weymouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Weymouth might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poole Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Weymouth than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Weymouth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Poole Town - Weymouth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (2.04)
    3.74
    (3.4)
    4.33
    (3.1)
    9.9%
    (10.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poole won 0.
    • Poole is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Weymouth is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Weymouth may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Poole has had a series of away games.
    • Poole might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Poole won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.5:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Poole won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2:0.8).
    Latest results of Poole Town
    Latest results of Weymouth
    04.10.2025 Wimborne Town - Weymouth 2:0
    27.09.2025 Weymouth - Tiverton Town 4:1
    23.09.2025 Weymouth - Gosport Borough 0:2
    20.09.2025 Weymouth - Gloucester City 0:3
    10.09.2025 Taunton Town - Weymouth 1:1
    English Southern League South Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walton & Hersham971123:111222
    2Gloucester962121:101120
    3Poole953113:11218
    4Farnham945020:12817
    5Sholing944117:11616
    6Wimborne943216:10615
    7Taunton943217:14315
    8Gosport942316:14214
    9Evesham934213:11213
    10Hungerford941412:14-213
    11Hanwell Town933312:9312
    12Uxbridge926113:14-112
    13Chertsey932410:10011
    14Berkhamsted93248:14-611
    15Havant & W831412:14-210
    16Basingstoke923414:15-19
    17Weymouth1023511:17-69
    18Yate Town102359:17-89
    19Tiverton1021710:18-87
    20Plymouth Parkway1013614:22-86
    21Dorchester913511:19-86
    22Bracknell812512:17-55

          Promotion ~ National League South
          Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )
          Relegation