Result
24/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Southern League Premier South - Round 15
Chances of winning
Yate Town
26.6% | Draw
26.1% | Poole Town
47.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yate Town's form might have worsened.Poole Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poole Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (+22.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yate Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (-19.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Poole Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Yate Town - Poole Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.42 ↑
(2) |
3.49 ↓
(3.85) |
1.92 ↓
(3.16) |
9.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Yate Town - Poole Town?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Poole (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Poole Town will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Poole Town will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Yate (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Poole (votes: 6 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yate won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Yate won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:21. (average 1.3:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yate won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1.6:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Yate Town won against Poole Town?
Yate Town has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Poole Town won against Yate Town?
Poole Town has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yate Town - Poole Town were as follows:
17.01.2026
Poole Town
-
Yate Town
2:2
04.10.2025
Yate Town
-
Poole Town
1:2
11.02.2023
Yate Town
-
Poole Town
2:3
24.09.2022
Poole Town
-
Yate Town
5:0
Latest results of Yate Town
Latest results of Poole Town
English Southern League South Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 85:30 | 55 | 85 |
| 2 | Farnham | 33 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 79:42 | 37 | 68 |
| 3 | Gloucester | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 75:46 | 29 | 67 |
| 4 | Poole | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 70:42 | 28 | 65 |
| 5 | Chertsey | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 58:45 | 13 | 60 |
| 6 | Sholing | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 63:44 | 19 | 58 |
| 7 | Gosport | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 63:56 | 7 | 57 |
| 8 | Berkhamsted | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 50:45 | 5 | 57 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 62:60 | 2 | 50 |
| 10 | Havant & W | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 62:61 | 1 | 48 |
| 11 | Bracknell | 36 | 13 | 8 | 15 | 55:63 | -8 | 47 |
| 12 | Wimborne | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 47:51 | -4 | 42 |
| 13 | Hanwell Town | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 47:53 | -6 | 41 |
| 14 | Basingstoke | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 50:61 | -11 | 41 |
| 15 | Weymouth | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 46:62 | -16 | 40 |
| 16 | Plymouth Parkway | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 45:67 | -22 | 40 |
| 17 | Evesham | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 18 | Dorchester | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 45:64 | -19 | 38 |
| 19 | Hungerford | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 45:75 | -30 | 37 |
| 20 | Yate Town | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 41:56 | -15 | 35 |
| 21 | Taunton | 35 | 9 | 7 | 19 | 52:66 | -14 | 34 |
| 22 | Tiverton ✔ | 32 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 30:79 | -49 | 15 |
Promotion ~ National League South
Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tiverton is Relegated to
