Porin Pesäkarhut vs Lapuan Virkiä – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Pesapallo Finnish Superpesis Women Porin Pesäkarhut - Lapuan Virkiä
Result
2:1 EI
29/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Superpesis Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandRuutu+

Chances of winning


Porin Pesäkarhut
55%
Draw
31.1%
Lapuan Virkiä
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 31% 14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 30.3% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porin Pesäkarhut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Lapuan Virkiä has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porin Pesäkarhut than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lapuan Virkiä than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Preview Facts
    • Pesakarhut Pori leads series 2-0. 3rd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pesäkarhut won 4.
    • Pesäkarhut is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Virkiä has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Pesäkarhut may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Pesäkarhut is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Pesäkarhut will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pesäkarhut won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pesäkarhut won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porin Pesäkarhut - Lapuan Virkiä were as follows:
    26.08.2025 Lapuan Virkiä - Porin Pesäkarhut 0:1
    23.08.2025 Porin Pesäkarhut - Lapuan Virkiä 2:0
    22.07.2025 Porin Pesäkarhut - Lapuan Virkiä 2:0
    08.07.2025 Lapuan Virkiä - Porin Pesäkarhut 0:2
    18.08.2024 Lapuan Virkiä - Porin Pesäkarhut 2:0
    Latest results of Porin Pesäkarhut
    Latest results of Lapuan Virkiä
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Pori W (1)Bye
    2Joensuu W (7)Vaasa W (10)0 : 2
    3Lapua W (4)Bye
    4ByeFera W (5)
    5Seinajoki W (2)Bye
    6Roihuttaret Helsinki W (8)Poytya W (9)2 : 0
    7Tampere W (3)Bye
    8ByeJyvaskyla W (6)

    Quarter-finals
    1Pori W (1)Vaasa W (10)3 : 0
    2Lapua W (4)Fera W (5)3 : 1
    3Seinajoki W (2)Roihuttaret Helsinki W (8)3 : 0
    4Tampere W (3)Jyvaskyla W (6)3 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Pori W (1)Lapua W (4)3 : 0
    2Seinajoki W (2)Tampere W (3)1 : 3

    Final
    1Pori W (1)Tampere W (3)1 : 3

    3rd place
    2Seinajoki W (2)Lapua W (4)1 : 1