Result
2:1 penalties
10/10/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Port Vale
74.9% | Draw
15.6% | Newcastle United U21
9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.Newcastle United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-17.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Vale that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle United U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Port Vale - Newcastle United U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.62) |
5.89 ↑
(4.2) |
9.68 ↑
(4.06) |
8.9%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Newcastle United U21?
Users Predictions:
Port Vale will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Port Vale is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Newcastle U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Newcastle U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Port Vale is indisputable favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
- Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Newcastle United U21?
Port Vale has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United U21 won against Port Vale?
Newcastle United U21 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Newcastle United U21 were as follows:
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Newcastle United U21
English EFL Trophy Table
2025/26Group 1 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stockport County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 2 | Salford | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 4 | Wigan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Blackpool | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 3 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Doncaster | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Notts Co | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Barnsley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Manchester Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Bolton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Manchester City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Rotherham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Harrogate | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Huddersfield | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Mansfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 4 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 0 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Port Vale | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Fleetwood | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 3 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Burton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Liverpool U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:7 | 0 |
Group 9 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Arsenal U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Exeter | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
Group 10 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Plymouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:4 | 2 |
| 3 | Tottenham U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:10 | 1 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
Group 11 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Northampton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Chelsea U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
Group 12 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 2 | Reading | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Swindon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 0 |
Group 13 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stevenage | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 3 |
| 2 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 3 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 1 |
Group 14 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Crawley | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Leyton Orient | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Peterborough | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 0 |
Group 15 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Gillingham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Colchester | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Wycombe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
Group 16 | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Luton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Barnet | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 2 |
| 3 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Cambridge Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
