Result
2:1 penalties
10/10/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: EFL TROPHY
- Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Port Vale
74.9% | Draw
15.6% | Newcastle United U21
9.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.Newcastle United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle United U21 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-17.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Vale that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle United U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Port Vale - Newcastle United U21 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.62) |
5.89 ↑
(4.2) |
9.68 ↑
(4.06) |
8.9%
(10.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Port Vale - Newcastle United U21?
Users Predictions:
Port Vale will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Port Vale is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Newcastle U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Newcastle U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Port Vale is indisputable favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
- Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Newcastle United U21?
Port Vale has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United U21 won against Port Vale?
Newcastle United U21 has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Newcastle United U21 were as follows:
Latest results of Port Vale
Latest results of Newcastle United U21
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Charlton | Leyton Orient | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Burton | Stevenage | 0 : 4 |
| 3 | Wycombe | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Exeter | Birmingham | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | Wigan | 3 : 2 |
| 6 | Rotherham | Tranmere | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Blackpool | Aston Villa U21 | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Stockport County | Bradford City | 2 : 3 |
| 9 | Peterborough | Northampton | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Walsall | Reading | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Cheltenham | Cambridge Utd | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Colchester | AFC Wimbledon | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Doncaster | Port Vale | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Wrexham | Crewe | 1 : 0 |
| 15 | Morecambe | Lincoln | 0 : 1 |
| 16 | Bolton | Huddersfield | 3 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Leyton Orient | Stevenage | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Swindon | Birmingham | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Chesterfield | Rotherham | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | Bradford City | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Peterborough | Walsall | 4 : 2 |
| 6 | Cheltenham | Colchester | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Port Vale | Wrexham | 1 : 4 |
| 8 | Lincoln | Bolton | 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Stevenage | Birmingham | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Rotherham | Bradford City | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Peterborough | Cheltenham | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Wrexham | Bolton | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Birmingham | Bradford City | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Peterborough | Wrexham | 3 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Birmingham | Peterborough | 0 : 2 |
