Chicago Stars vs Portland Thorns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NWSL Women
  • Referee: Berna Rico S. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN+
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, ESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.04
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
86
Passes
82% (251/305)79% (240/302)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.04
xG on target (xGOT)
1.760.86
Total shots
1016
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
19
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
86
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
79
Passes
82% (251/305)79% (240/302)
Long passes
48% (15/31)57% (32/56)
Passes in final third
66% (52/79)66% (63/96)
Crosses
20% (2/10)57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.87
Throw-ins
1217
Fouls
97
Tackles
64% (9/14)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4034
Clearances
1319
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.861.76
Goals prevented
-0.140.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Moultrie O. ,
  • 23', Obaze I. , Hiatt S. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Franklin B. , Schlegel A. (A),
  • 45+6', Fleming J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Dufour J. , Sugita H. ,
  • 61', Lopez Millan M. , Hayashi M. ,
  • 67', Franklin B. 🟨,
  • 83', Joseph J. , Gomes N. ,
  • 83', Biegalski C. , Cary Angel S. ,
  • 86', Fleming J. , Alidou d'Anjou M. ,
  • 87', Tordin P. , Spaanstra A. ,

Chances of winning


Chicago Stars
28.9%
Draw
31.2%
Portland Thorns
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.7% 24.7% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6% 24.8% 45.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Portland Thorns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Thorns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Stars than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Thorns than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Thorns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chicago Stars - Portland Thorns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (3.07)
    3.15
    (3.7)
    2.46
    (2)
    1.9%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Portland Thorns will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 20:41. (average 1:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.6:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Stars - Portland Thorns were as follows:
    21.06.2025 Portland Thorns - Chicago Stars 1:0
    13.09.2024 Portland Thorns - Chicago Stars 0:1
    27.04.2024 Chicago Stars - Portland Thorns 0:2
    18.06.2023 Chicago Stars - Portland Thorns 2:3
    21.05.2023 Portland Thorns - Chicago Stars 4:0
    Latest results of Chicago Stars
    Latest results of Portland Thorns
    NWSL Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Angel City W22007:166
    2Houston Dash W22004:046
    3Portland Thorns W22003:036
    4North Carolina Courage W21102:114
    5Gotham W21101:014
    6Kansas City Current W21013:303
    7San Diego Wave W21012:203
    8Bay FC W21013:4-13
    9Seattle Reign W21012:3-13
    10Chicago W21012:5-33
    11Racing Louisville W20113:4-11
    12Washington Spirit W20112:3-11
    13Denver Summit W20112:3-11
    14Orlando Pride W20112:3-11
    15Utah Royals W20022:4-20
    16Boston Legacy W20020:4-40

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)