Porto SC vs Barcelona de Ilhéus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Baiano Porto SC - Barcelona de Ilhéus
Result
2:1
22/02/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Baiano - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilTVE Bahia

Match Stats

Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
1412
Shots on Goal
64
Shots off Goal
88
Corner Kicks
73
Goalkeeper Saves
34
Yellow Cards
44
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Michel Tiago , Junior ,
  • 17', John Lessa 🟨,
  • 20', Peu 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 70', Izaldo 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 0, ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 81', 2 - 0, ,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,
  • 90+7', 🟥,
  • 90+8', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Porto SC
29.2%
Draw
29.2%
Barcelona de Ilhéus
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.5% 32.3% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 34.6% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Porto SC's form might have worsened.
  • Barcelona de Ilhéus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barcelona de Ilhéus's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto SC than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto SC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona de Ilhéus than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barcelona de Ilhéus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Porto SC - Barcelona de Ilhéus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.12
    (2.57)
    3.12
    (2.9)
    2.19
    (3)
    10%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Porto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Barcelona is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Porto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Porto have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Barcelona have a series of home games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Porto SC
    19.02.2025 Jacuipense - Porto SC 5:0
    02.02.2025 Porto SC - Jequié 1:2
    30.01.2025 Juazeirense - Porto SC 0:2
    26.01.2025 Bahia - Porto SC 2:0
    Latest results of Barcelona de Ilhéus
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Vitoria (1)Alagoinhas (4)3 : 0, 4 : 0
    2Jacuipense (2)Bahia (3)0 : 5, 2 : 1

    Final
    1Vitoria (1)Bahia (3)1 : 1, 0 : 2