Result
0:0
31/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Capixaba - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | TV Record |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Leo Baiano 🟨,
- 29', Victor Rangel 🟥,
- 43', Ruan 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Tiago Moura ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
- 64', Bahia ↓, Lekinho ↑,
- 80', Jhonatan Marino 🟨,
- 83', Kellyton 🟨,
- 83', 🟨,
- 88', Matheus Santos 🟨,
Chances of winning
Desportiva Ferroviaria
40% | Draw
31.8% | Porto Vitória
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desportiva Ferroviaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Desportiva Ferroviaria's form might have worsened.Porto Vitória has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Desportiva Ferroviaria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Desportiva Ferroviaria - Porto Vitória Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(1.97) |
2.85 ↓
(3.25) |
3.21 ↓
(3.62) |
10.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Porto Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ferroviaria might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviaria won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Desportiva Ferroviaria won against Porto Vitória?
Desportiva Ferroviaria has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto Vitória won against Desportiva Ferroviaria?
Porto Vitória has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Desportiva Ferroviaria - Porto Vitória were as follows:
29.07.2025
Porto Vitória
-
Desportiva Ferroviaria
3:1
22.07.2025
Desportiva Ferroviaria
-
Porto Vitória
1:0
18.06.2025
Desportiva Ferroviaria
-
Porto Vitória
2:1
13.02.2025
Porto Vitória
-
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:3
02.08.2024
Porto Vitória
-
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:0
Latest results of Desportiva Ferroviaria
Latest results of Porto Vitória
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Rio Branco ES (4) | Porto Vitoria (5) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES (1) | Forte (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense (3) | Desportiva Ferroviaria (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Serra (2) | Real Noroeste (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Porto Vitoria | Vitoria ES | |
| 2 | Vilavelhense | Serra | |
Final
