Result
3:1 penalties
29/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Espirito Santo - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Gabriel Rossetto ⚽,
- 20', 1 - 1, Joao Paulo (Pen),
- 45+13', 2 - 1, Thainler ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, (Pen),
- 1, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
Chances of winning
Porto Vitória
42.4% | Draw
28% | Desportiva Ferroviaria
29.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Desportiva Ferroviaria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportiva Ferroviaria than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Porto Vitória - Desportiva Ferroviaria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(2) |
3.25
(3.25) |
3.06 ↓
(3.33) |
10.2%
(10.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto Vitória won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Ferroviaria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Ferroviaria has had a series of home games.
- Porto Vitória will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Porto Vitória won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto Vitória won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto Vitória won against Desportiva Ferroviaria?
Porto Vitória has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Desportiva Ferroviaria won against Porto Vitória?
Desportiva Ferroviaria has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto Vitória - Desportiva Ferroviaria were as follows:
22.07.2025
Desportiva Ferroviaria
-
Porto Vitória
1:0
18.06.2025
Desportiva Ferroviaria
-
Porto Vitória
2:1
13.02.2025
Porto Vitória
-
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0:3
02.08.2024
Porto Vitória
-
Desportiva Ferroviaria
1:0
13.07.2024
Desportiva Ferroviaria
-
Porto Vitória
0:2
Latest results of Porto Vitória
Latest results of Desportiva Ferroviaria
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Vitoria ES (1) | Vilavelhense (8) | 1 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Noroeste (4) | Capixaba SC (5) | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Porto Vitoria (2) | Serra (7) | 3 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Desportiva Ferroviaria (3) | Rio Branco-VN (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Vitoria ES (1) | Real Noroeste (4) | 2 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Porto Vitoria (2) | Desportiva Ferroviaria (3) | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Vitoria ES (1) | Porto Vitoria (2) | 3 : 1 |
