Nova Iguaçu vs Porto Vitória – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie D Nova Iguaçu - Porto Vitória
Result
1:1
26/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
53
Corner Kicks
35
Total shots
135
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
82
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Araujo ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Thomasel ,

Chances of winning


Nova Iguaçu
41.7%
Draw
28.9%
Porto Vitória
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 26% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 28.7% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Iguaçu's form might have worsened.
  • Porto Vitória has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto Vitória's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+16.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto Vitória, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nova Iguaçu - Porto Vitória Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.71)
    3.16
    (3.45)
    3.11
    (4.2)
    9.4%
    (11.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Porto Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Nova Iguaçu will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nova Iguaçu - Porto Vitória were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Porto Vitória - Nova Iguaçu 1:1
    Latest results of Nova Iguaçu
    Latest results of Porto Vitória
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1LagartoCentral SC2 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tuna LusoMaranhao2 : 0, 1 : 4
    3America RNJuazeirense2 : 0, 1 : 1
    4ImperatrizManaus1 : 2, 2 : 0
    5AE AltosIndependencia3 : 1, 5 : 1
    6Santa CruzSergipe3 : 1, 1 : 2
    7ASAFerroviario2 : 0, 1 : 0
    8ManauaraSampaio Correa1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9AparecidenseMarica2 : 2, 2 : 1
    10EC Sao JoseGoiatuba1 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Inter de LimeiraMarcilio Dias2 : 1, 0 : 0
    12Rio Branco ESLuverdense3 : 0, 0 : 0
    13PortuguesaMixto1 : 1, 0 : 1
    14CianorteJoinville4 : 0, 1 : 1
    15Barra FCCascavel3 : 0, 1 : 0
    16CeilandiaAgua Santa1 : 0, 1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Central SCMaranhao1 : 2
    2America RNImperatriz1 : 0
    3AE AltosSanta Cruz1 : 1
    4ASAManauara0 : 0, 1 : 0
    5AparecidenseGoiatuba0 : 2, 3 : 2
    6Inter de LimeiraRio Branco ES0 : 0, 1 : 0
    7MixtoCianorte1 : 1
    8Barra FCCeilandia1 : 0, 1 : 1