Result
1:6 penalties
14/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Capixaba - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 2', 0 - 1, Rian Felipe ⚽,
- 15', Abuda 🟨,
- 26', Joao Paulo 🟨,
- 32', Henrique Melo 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 2, Matheus Firmino ⚽,
- 45+7', 0 - 3, Gustavo Tonoli (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Vini ↓, Tony ↑,
- 46', Renie 🟨,
- 56', 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 3, Guilherme Truyts ⚽,
- 66', Pedro Felipe ↓, Adriano Bispo ↑,
- 66', Rian Felipe ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
- 68', 1 - 4, Thallyson ⚽,
- 70', Athirson ↓, Matheus Santos ↑,
- 79', Gualberto ↓, Geisandro ↑,
- 83', 1 - 5, Adriano Bispo ⚽,
- 83', Carlos Vitor ↓, Canario ↑,
- 83', Tony 🟨,
- 84', Henrique Melo ↓, Vini Moura ↑,
- 85', Matheus Firmino ↓, Josue ↑,
- 87', Gustavo Tonoli ↓, Alexsandro ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 5)
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Vitória ES 51.5% | Draw 28% | Porto Vitória 20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vitória ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Vitória ES - Porto Vitória Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↑ (1.77) |
3.26 ↓ (3.3) |
4.47 ↑ (4.43) |
9.4% (9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 4-0. Second leg.
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória ES won 2.
- Vitória ES is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Porto Vitória has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Vitória ES may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Vitória ES is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Vitória ES will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vitória ES won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vitória ES won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Vitória ES won against Porto Vitória?
Vitória ES has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto Vitória won against Vitória ES?
Porto Vitória has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória ES - Porto Vitória were as follows:
08.03.2026
Porto Vitória
-
Vitória ES
0:4
17.01.2026
Vitória ES
-
Porto Vitória
1:1
03.08.2025
Vitória ES
-
Porto Vitória
3:1
21.06.2025
Porto Vitória
-
Vitória ES
2:1
23.03.2025
Vitória ES
-
Porto Vitória
0:2
Latest results of Vitória ES
Latest results of Porto Vitória
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Rio Branco ES (4) | Porto Vitoria (5) | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Vitoria ES (1) | Forte (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Vilavelhense (3) | Desportiva Ferroviaria (6) | 1 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Serra (2) | Real Noroeste (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Porto Vitoria | Vitoria ES | 6 : 1, 0 : 4 |
| 2 | Vilavelhense | Serra | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Final