Vitória ES vs Porto Vitória – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:6 penalties
14/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Capixaba - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
67
Corner kicks
76
Yellow cards
34
Total shots
912
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Rian Felipe ,
  • 15', Abuda 🟨,
  • 26', Joao Paulo 🟨,
  • 32', Henrique Melo 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Matheus Firmino ,
  • 45+7', 0 - 3, Gustavo Tonoli (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Vini , Tony ,
  • 46', Renie 🟨,
  • 56', 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 3, Guilherme Truyts ,
  • 66', Pedro Felipe , Adriano Bispo ,
  • 66', Rian Felipe , Luiz Henrique ,
  • 68', 1 - 4, Thallyson ,
  • 70', Athirson , Matheus Santos ,
  • 79', Gualberto , Geisandro ,
  • 83', 1 - 5, Adriano Bispo ,
  • 83', Carlos Vitor , Canario ,
  • 83', Tony 🟨,
  • 84', Henrique Melo , Vini Moura ,
  • 85', Matheus Firmino , Josue ,
  • 87', Gustavo Tonoli , Alexsandro ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Vitória ES
51.5%
Draw
28%
Porto Vitória
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 27.7% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 26.1% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vitória ES has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Porto Vitória has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Vitória ES - Porto Vitória Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.77)
    3.26
    (3.3)
    4.47
    (4.43)
    9.4%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 4-0. Second leg.
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Capixaba (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vitória ES won 2.
    • Vitória ES is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Porto Vitória has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Vitória ES may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vitória ES is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Vitória ES will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Vitória ES won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vitória ES won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitória ES - Porto Vitória were as follows:
    08.03.2026 Porto Vitória - Vitória ES 0:4
    17.01.2026 Vitória ES - Porto Vitória 1:1
    03.08.2025 Vitória ES - Porto Vitória 3:1
    21.06.2025 Porto Vitória - Vitória ES 2:1
    23.03.2025 Vitória ES - Porto Vitória 0:2
    Latest results of Vitória ES
    Latest results of Porto Vitória
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Rio Branco ES (4)Porto Vitoria (5)0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Vitoria ES (1)Forte (8)4 : 1, 1 : 1
    3Vilavelhense (3)Desportiva Ferroviaria (6)1 : 1, 1 : 1
    4Serra (2)Real Noroeste (7)1 : 0, 1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Porto VitoriaVitoria ES6 : 1, 0 : 4
    2VilavelhenseSerra0 : 1, 1 : 2

    Final
    1Porto VitoriaSerra3 : 1