Porto vs Al Ahly Cairo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA Club World Cup Porto - Al Ahly Cairo
Result
4:4
23/06/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3
  • Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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worldWorldSport 24 Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.762.82
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1723
Shots on target
711
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
86% (374/436)84% (289/345)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.762.82
xG on target (xGOT)
2.734.05
Total shots
1723
Shots on target
711
Shots off target
69
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
713
Shots outside the Box
1010
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
56
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
2338
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
86% (374/436)84% (289/345)
Long passes
45% (14/31)53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
68% (77/113)78% (94/120)
Crosses
30% (7/23)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.94
Throw-ins
1710
Fouls
1011
Tackles
23% (3/13)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4851
Clearances
1826
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
4.052.73
Goals prevented
-0.23-1.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Abou Ali W. , Fathy H. (A),
  • 23', 1 - 1, Mora R. ,
  • 25', Hany M. 🟨,
  • 35', Fathy H. , Dieng A. ,
  • 45+2', 1 - 2, Abou Ali W. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Varela A. , Borges G. ,
  • 46', Danny Namaso , Samu ,
  • 50', 2 - 2, William Gomes , Borges G. (A),
  • 51', 2 - 3, Abou Ali W. , Hany M. (A),
  • 53', 3 - 3, Samu , Vieira F. (A),
  • 56', Mohamed A. R. 🟨,
  • 58', Abou Ali W. , Gradisar N. ,
  • 58', Trezeguet , Bencharki A. ,
  • 58', El Shahat H. , Kamal O. ,
  • 61', Bencharki A. 🟨,
  • 62', Joao Mario , Fernandes M. ,
  • 64', 3 - 4, Ben Romdhane M. A. , Bencharki A. (A),
  • 68', Dari A. 🟨,
  • 69', William Gomes , Pepê ,
  • 69', Vieira F. , Veiga G. ,
  • 75', Anselmi M. 🟨,
  • 87', Ben Romdhane M. A. , Afsha ,
  • 89', 4 - 4, Pepê ,

Chances of winning


Porto
57%
Draw
23.5%
Al Ahly Cairo
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 24.4% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8% 23.7% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Al Ahly Cairo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Ahly Cairo than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Porto - Al Ahly Cairo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.69
    (1.63)
    4.09
    (3.9)
    4.99
    (5.55)
    3.6%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Porto - Al Ahly Cairo?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Porto (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Users Predictions: Porto will win (58 of 69 users predict this - 84.06%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.42%92.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Al Ahly has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Porto is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Porto: Grujic M. (Heel Injury) Portugal S. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Al Ahly: Ashour E. (Collarbone injury) Slim R. (Inactive)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Porto
    19.06.2025 Inter Miami - Porto 2:1
    15.06.2025 Palmeiras - Porto 0:0
    08.06.2025 Porto - Riga 0:2
    31.05.2025 Wydad Casablanca - Porto 0:1
    17.05.2025 Porto - Nacional 3:0
    Latest results of Al Ahly Cairo
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)3 : 0