Porto vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
88:72
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LPB - Round 17

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7361
Field goals made
2926
Field goals %
39.73%42.62%
2-point field goals attempts
3942
2-point field goals made
1721
2-point field goals %
43.59%50%
3-point field goals attempts
3419
3-point field goals made
125
3-point field goals %
35.29%26.32%
Free throws attempts
2818
Free throws made
1815
Free throws %
64.3%83.3%
Offensive rebounds
1813
Defensive rebounds
2227
Total rebounds
4040
Assists
1715
Blocks
21
Turnovers
919
Steals
85
Personal fouls
2024

Chances of winning


Porto
44.3%
Benfica
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 51.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Porto - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.03)

    1.65
    (1.63)
    9%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 174.25
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Porto - Benfica?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 1.
    • Porto is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Benfica is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1644:1738. (average 82.2:86.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 649:654. (average 81.1:81.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Benfica were as follows:
    21.12.2025 Benfica - Porto 91:65
    15.11.2025 Benfica - Porto 109:80
    15.06.2025 Porto - Benfica 71:93
    13.06.2025 Porto - Benfica 82:75
    10.06.2025 Benfica - Porto 89:81
    Latest results of Porto
    14.03.2026 Vitória de Guimarães - Porto 69:115
    07.03.2026 Porto - Imortal 98:85
    22.02.2026 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 84:86
    21.02.2026 Galitos Barreiro - Porto 81:97
    14.02.2026 Porto - Imortal 99:88
    Latest results of Benfica
    14.03.2026 Benfica - CAQ Queluz 106:68
    08.03.2026 Esgueira - Benfica 75:102
    20.02.2026 Benfica - Ovarense 110:75
    07.02.2026 Imortal - Benfica 95:105
    Portuguese LPB Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPts
    1Benfica191721840:145636
    2Sporting CP191631702:147735
    3Ovarense191361574:149732
    4FC Porto191361716:158432
    5Oliveirense191091644:159629
    6Esgueira198111635:170827
    7Braga198111536:156227
    8Imortal197121630:164326
    9Vitoria196131565:172825
    10CA Queluz196131603:169325
    11Vasco Da Gama195141584:186524
    12Galitos Barreiro195141568:178824

          Promotion ~ LPB (Quarter~finals)
          Relegation ~ Proliga