Porto vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Portuguese LPB Porto - Benfica
Result
71:93
15/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LPB - Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6069
Field Goals Made
2235
Field Goals %
36.7%50.7%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3342
2-Point Field Goals Made
1524
2-Point Field Goals %
45.5%57.1%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2727
3-Point Field Goals Made
711
3-Point Field Goals %
25.9%40.7%
Free Throws Attempted
2915
Free Throws Made
2012
Free Throws %
69%80%
Offensive Rebounds
617
Defensive Rebounds
1832
Total Rebounds
2449
Assists
1019
Blocks
23
Turnovers
917
Steals
55
Personal Fouls
1624

Chances of winning


Porto
53.4%
Benfica
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8% 40.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Porto - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.65)

    1.98
    (2.19)
    8.3%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 167.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • Benfica leads series 2-1. 4th leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 3.
    • Recent performances by Porto have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Benfica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1689:1745. (average 84.5:87.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 746:764. (average 82.9:84.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Benfica were as follows:
    13.06.2025 Porto - Benfica 82:75
    10.06.2025 Benfica - Porto 89:81
    08.06.2025 Benfica - Porto 95:94
    03.05.2025 Benfica - Porto 95:104
    22.03.2025 Porto - Benfica 94:84
    Latest results of Porto
    13.06.2025 Porto - Benfica 82:75
    10.06.2025 Benfica - Porto 89:81
    08.06.2025 Benfica - Porto 95:94
    30.05.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 74:78
    25.05.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 83:64
    Latest results of Benfica
    13.06.2025 Porto - Benfica 82:75
    10.06.2025 Benfica - Porto 89:81
    08.06.2025 Benfica - Porto 95:94
    29.05.2025 Ovarense - Benfica 80:89
    24.05.2025 Benfica - Ovarense 103:71
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1BenficaVitoria2 : 0
    2OliveirenseOvarense1 : 2
    3FC PortoImortal2 : 0
    4Sporting CPGalitos Barreiro2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1BenficaOvarense3 : 0
    2FC PortoSporting CP3 : 0

    Final
    1BenficaFC Porto3 : 1