Result
1:0
08/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 25
- Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 4 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Montenegro | Sportklub 4 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
 North-macedonia | Sportklub 4 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | TV Start Triumph |
 Saudi-arabia | Shahid VIP |
 Serbia | SportKlub 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tabii, TRT Spor |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (318/403) | 84% (416/497) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 64% (67/104) | 61% (60/98) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (2/22) | 17% (3/18) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 73% (8/11) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 36 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Perez N. 🟨,
- 8', Borges G. 🟨,
- 15', Fernandes M. 🟨,
- 17', 1 - 0, Horta R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 57', Marcano I. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 69', Fernandes M. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
- 76', Franco A. ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
- 77', Moura F. ↓, Zaidu ↑,
- 77', Borges G. ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 80', Gorby ↓, Racic U. ↑,
- 83', Gharbi I. ↓, Ferreira J. ↑,
- 88', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 89', El Ouazzani A. ↓, Patrao A. ↑,
- 90+1', Sa T. 🟥,
- 90+1', Otavio 🟨,
- 90+2', Chissumba 🟨,
Chances of winning
Braga
27.8% | Draw
29.4% | Porto
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Braga - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.39 ↑
(3.35) |
3.25 ↓
(3.4) |
2.21 ↑
(2.16) |
5.5%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Braga - Porto?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Porto will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 25.1% – 83.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Braga won 0.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Porto will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Braga: Niakate S.
(Muscle Injury)
Vitor Carvalho
(Muscle Injury)
Zalazar R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Porto: Mora R.
(Thigh Injury)
Pepê
(Thigh Injury)
Sousa V.
(Calf Injury)
Vieira F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Porto: Grujic M.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Braga won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 19:33 (average 1:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Braga won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Porto?
Braga has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Braga?
Porto has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Porto were as follows:
06.10.2024
Porto
-
Braga
2:1
18.05.2024
Braga
-
Porto
0:1
14.01.2024
Porto
-
Braga
2:0
04.06.2023
Braga
-
Porto
0:2
19.03.2023
Braga
-
Porto
0:0
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Moreirense | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 10 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
| 11 | Estrela | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Alverca | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 13 | Nacional | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Estoril | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
