Result
2:1
02/11/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 10
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 2 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8 |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (219/311) | 88% (595/678) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (219/311) | 88% (595/678) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (19/53) | 44% (27/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (38/73) | 84% (162/192) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -1.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Moura F. 🟨,
- 34', Farioli F. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Mora R. ⚽, Samu (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 1, Gomez V. ⚽, Zalazar R. (A),
- 57', Moura F. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 57', Mora R. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
- 62', Victor P. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 62', Grillitsch F. ↓, Moutinho J. ↑,
- 63', Moutinho J. 🟨,
- 64', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 64', Pepê ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
- 66', Bednarek J. 🟨,
- 73', William Gomes ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
- 78', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,
- 79', 2 - 1, Sainz B. ⚽, Veiga G. (A),
- 81', Fernandes M. 🟨,
- 84', Lelo L. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 89', Gorby ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Porto
60.9% | Draw
23.5% | Braga
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Porto - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.5) |
4.05 ↓
(4.3) |
5.99 ↓
(6.2) |
5.1%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Porto - Braga?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 18 - 81.8%). Braga will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 65.7% – 97.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.5 - Braga (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Braga (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Braga (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Braga (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Porto (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Braga (votes: 5 - 38.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 4.
- Porto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Braga is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Porto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Porto is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Braga: Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Vitor Carvalho
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Porto: Perez T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Porto won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 2.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Braga?
Porto has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Porto?
Braga has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Braga were as follows:
08.03.2025
Braga
-
Porto
1:0
06.10.2024
Porto
-
Braga
2:1
18.05.2024
Braga
-
Porto
0:1
14.01.2024
Porto
-
Braga
2:0
04.06.2023
Braga
-
Porto
0:2
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
