Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 27
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 1 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hungary | Selekt, Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1, Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.19 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (427/488) | 80% (238/297) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (427/488) | 80% (238/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 31% (11/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (75/108) | 58% (38/66) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Lagerbielke G. 🟨,
- 30', Varela A. 🟨,
- 34', Niakate S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 52', Veiga G. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 0, Zalazar R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 54', Zalazar R. 🟨,
- 56', Pepê ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 56', Gul D. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
- 63', Niakate S. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
- 63', Rodrigues D. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 67', Varela A. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
- 67', Veiga G. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, William Gomes ⚽, Pietuszewski O. (A),
- 73', Rosario P. 🟨,
- 74', Moffi T. 🟨,
- 78', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Fofana S. ⚽, Froholdt V. (A),
- 80', Fofana S. 🟨,
- 86', Moutinho J. ↓, Gorby ↑,
- 86', Victor P. ↓, Navarro F. ↑,
- 86', Gomez V. ↓, Dorgeles M. ↑,
- 90+6', Gorby 🟨,
Chances of winning
Braga
29.8% | Draw
30.2% | Porto
40% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Braga - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.17 ↓
(3.49) |
3.13 ↓
(3.36) |
2.36 ↑
(2.11) |
5.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Braga - Porto?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Braga (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Braga (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Porto will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Braga (votes: 2 - 50%). Porto (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 1.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Porto is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Braga: Barisic A.
(Muscle Injury)
Bellaarouch A.
(Inactive)
Vitor Carvalho
(Injury)
- There will not play in Porto: Mora R.
(Thigh Injury)
Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Samu
(Knee Injury)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Braga won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Porto?
Braga has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Braga?
Porto has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Porto were as follows:
02.11.2025
Porto
-
Braga
2:1
08.03.2025
Braga
-
Porto
1:0
06.10.2024
Porto
-
Braga
2:1
18.05.2024
Braga
-
Porto
0:1
14.01.2024
Porto
-
Braga
2:0
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
