Porto vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/10/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 3
  • Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, Supersport Action
argentinaArgentinaESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaRTL, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4, Moja TV
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileESPN 2
chinaChinaQQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandElisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
franceFranceCanal+ Live 5
germanyGermanyRTL, RTL+
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 5
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 256
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 4
montenegroMontenegroArena Sport 3
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 6
portugalPortugalSport TV5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1 Champions
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South, ViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 7, Movistar Plus+ 1
swedenSwedenDisney+
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Blue Zoom, RTL, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 6
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, ON Sport, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.681.12
Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1115
Shots on Goal
41
Shots off Goal
211
Blocked Shots
53
Free Kicks
916
Corner Kicks
69
Offsides
22
Throw-ins
136
Goalkeeper Saves
12
Fouls
169
Yellow Cards
31
Total Passes
388467
Completed Passes
332411
Crosses Completed
57
Interceptions
78

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45', Nsoki S. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Djalo T. , Nico (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Perez N. 🟨,
  • 59', Ivan Jaime , Vieira F. ,
  • 70', Hlozek A. , Tabakovic H. ,
  • 70', Bruun Larsen J. , Berisha M. ,
  • 70', Grillitsch F. , Tohumcu U. ,
  • 75', 2 - 0, Samu ,
  • 77', Varela A. 🟨,
  • 79', Arthur Chaves , Drexler T. ,
  • 84', Nico 🟨,
  • 84', Djalo T. , Pedro J. ,
  • 84', Prass A. , Jurasek D. ,
  • 90+2', Pepê , Borges G. ,
  • 90+2', Samu , Danny Namaso ,

Chances of winning


Porto
68%
Draw
18.9%
Hoffenheim
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 24.3% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 23.2% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Porto's performance.
  • Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hoffenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porto that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hoffenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Porto - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.75)
    5.08
    (3.85)
    7.39
    (4.2)
    3.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Porto - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: Porto will win (63 of 73 users predict this - 86.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.41%94.19%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Porto is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Hoffenheim is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Porto is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Porto: Marcano I. (Knee Injury) Navarro F. (Muscle Injury) Zaidu (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Injury) Becker F. O. (Knee Injury) Jurasek D. (Broken Hand) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Berisha M. (Injury) Geiger D. (Back Injury) Grillitsch F. (Injury) Kaderabek P. (Muscle Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Porto
    20.10.2024 Sintrense - Porto 0:3
    06.10.2024 Porto - Braga 2:1
    03.10.2024 Porto - Manchester United 3:3
    29.09.2024 Porto - Arouca 4:0
    25.09.2024 Bodø Glimt - Porto 3:2
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    19.10.2024 Hoffenheim - Bochum 3:1
    06.10.2024 Stuttgart - Hoffenheim 1:1
    03.10.2024 Hoffenheim - Dynamo Kyiv 2:0
    29.09.2024 Hoffenheim - Werder Bremen 3:4
    25.09.2024 Midtjylland - Hoffenheim 1:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Ludogorets (22)Ferencvaros (12)0 : 2, 2 : 1
    2Braga (6)Bye
    3Panathinaikos (20)Plzen (14)2 : 1, 2 : 2
    4Betis (4)Bye
    5Din. Zagreb (23)Genk (9)3 : 3, 1 : 3
    6Freiburg (7)Bye
    7PAOK (17)Celta Vigo (16)0 : 1, 1 : 2
    8Lyon (1)Bye
    9Celtic (21)Stuttgart (11)1 : 0, 1 : 4
    10FC Porto (5)Bye
    11Fenerbahce (19)Nottingham (13)2 : 1, 0 : 3
    12Midtjylland (3)Bye
    13Brann (24)Bologna (10)0 : 1, 0 : 1
    14AS Roma (8)Bye
    15Lille (18)Crvena zvezda (15)2 : 0, 0 : 1
    16Aston Villa (2)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Ferencvaros (12)Braga (6)
    2Panathinaikos (20)Betis (4)
    3Genk (9)Freiburg (7)
    4Celta Vigo (16)Lyon (1)
    5Stuttgart (11)FC Porto (5)
    6Nottingham (13)Midtjylland (3)
    7Bologna (10)AS Roma (8)
    8Lille (18)Aston Villa (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2